Result
2:3
09/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 15
- Referee: Uslu A. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/573) | 74% (235/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/573) | 74% (235/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (132/170) | 61% (69/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Hoppe M. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Mortensen P. ⚽, Links G. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Arnstad K. ⚽, Poulsen N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 2, Ingason K. M. ⚽,
- 63', Waever S. ↓, Klysner T. ↑,
- 63', Hoppe M. 🟨,
- 67', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 76', Ingason K. M. ↓, Duru G. ↑,
- 76', Agger M. ↓, Hyseni O. ↑,
- 76', Hoppe M. ↓, Cherif M. ↑,
- 77', Yakob K. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 77', Poulsen N. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Cherif M. ⚽, Hyseni O. (A),
- 84', Lyng A. ↓, Qamili L. ↑,
- 90+1', Links G. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 90+1', Bech T. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
62.7% | Draw
20.9% | SønderjyskE
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.38) |
4.57 ↓
(4.97) |
5.8 ↓
(6.79) |
5.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). SønderjyskE will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 78% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 4.
- Aarhus is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- SønderjyskE's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SønderjyskE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aarhus is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in SønderjyskE: Nikolov I.
(Injury)
Sigurgeirsson R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in SønderjyskE: Emini S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Aarhus will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against SønderjyskE?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SønderjyskE won against AGF Aarhus?
SønderjyskE has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE were as follows:
29.10.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
SønderjyskE
2:1
20.07.2025
SønderjyskE
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
16.02.2025
SønderjyskE
-
AGF Aarhus
1:4
02.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
SønderjyskE
4:0
14.01.2023
SønderjyskE
-
AGF Aarhus
1:5
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus ✔ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Midtjylland ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 45 |
| 3 | Brondby ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske ✔ | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Viborg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36:45 | -9 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Fredericia ✔ | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 11 | Silkeborg ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Midtjylland is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Brondby is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Sonderjyske is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Randers FC is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Silkeborg is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Vejle is Superliga (Relegation Group )
