Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 23
- Referee: Putros S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (291/401) | 82% (386/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (291/401) | 82% (386/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/77) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (55/111) | 73% (103/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Knudsen M. 🟨,
- 39', Beijmo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Cherif M. 🟨,
- 53', Vinderslev R. 🟨,
- 57', Cherif M. ↓, Lyng A. ↑,
- 65', Yakob K. ↓, Poulsen N. ↑,
- 65', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽,
- 75', Kahl E. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
- 77', Vinderslev R. ↓, Oggesen A. ↑,
- 77', Waever S. ↓, Emini S. ↑,
- 85', Hoppe M. ↓, Hyseni O. ↑,
- 89', Poulsen N. 🟨,
- 90', Carstensen R. ↓, Molgaard T. ↑,
- 90', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
SønderjyskE
25.7% | Draw
26.1% | AGF Aarhus
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.35) |
3.64 ↓
(3.95) |
1.98
(1.98) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. SønderjyskE will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. SønderjyskE (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aarhus (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- SønderjyskE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aarhus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in SønderjyskE: Sigurgeirsson R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen N.
(Inactive)
Solbakken M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, SønderjyskE won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has SønderjyskE won against AGF Aarhus?
SønderjyskE has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against SønderjyskE?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
09.11.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
SønderjyskE
2:3
29.10.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
SønderjyskE
2:1
20.07.2025
SønderjyskE
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
16.02.2025
SønderjyskE
-
AGF Aarhus
1:4
02.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
SønderjyskE
4:0
Latest results of SønderjyskE
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 49:25 | 24 | 55 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 48 |
| 3 | Nordsjaelland | 25 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 42:40 | 2 | 40 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Viborg | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Brondby | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32:25 | 7 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
