Result
0:2
19/08/2023 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 26
Chances of winning
North Geelong Warriors
14.6% | Draw
17.7% | South Melbourne
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Geelong Warriors's form might have worsened.South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Melbourne's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Geelong Warriors - South Melbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.34 ↑
(3.37) |
5.2 ↑
(4.2) |
1.36 ↓
(1.72) |
8.4%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for North Geelong Warriors - South Melbourne?
Users Predictions:
North Geelong Warriors will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: )).
- North Geelong has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches South Melbourne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- South Melbourne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently South Melbourne have a series of guest games.
- In this match South Melbourne is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
How many head-to-head matches has North Geelong Warriors won against South Melbourne?
North Geelong Warriors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against North Geelong Warriors?
South Melbourne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Geelong Warriors - South Melbourne were as follows:
14.05.2023
South Melbourne
-
North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Latest results of North Geelong Warriors
Latest results of South Melbourne
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avondale FC ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 59:26 | 33 | 55 |
| 2 | Heidelberg Utd ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 55 |
| 3 | Dandenong Thunder ✔ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 55:29 | 26 | 50 |
| 4 | Oakleigh Cannons ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 45 |
| 5 | Preston Lions | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Hume City | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | Dandenong City | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Green Gully | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | South Melbourne | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | St Albans | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22:58 | -36 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 34:56 | -22 | 15 |
| 14 | Melbourne Knights ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 26:60 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
