Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (251/369) | 60% (188/314) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (251/369) | 60% (188/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 24% (18/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (49/112) | 51% (49/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, Scienza L. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
- 63', Matsuki K. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
- 63', Azaz F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
- 66', Bowat I. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 67', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 68', Armstrong A. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 70', Downes F. 🟨,
- 70', Swanson Z. 🟨,
- 71', Chaplin C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 71', Dozzell A. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Adams E. ⚽,
- 82', Adams E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
27.9% | Draw
26.9% | Southampton
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southampton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portsmouth - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↓
(3.76) |
3.52 ↓
(3.68) |
2.1 ↑
(1.92) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 41% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Portsmouth (1.68) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - S`hampton (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 50%). S`hampton (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- S`hampton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H.
(Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Lang C.
(Inactive)
Murphy J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
Romeu O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Southampton?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Portsmouth?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Southampton were as follows:
14.09.2025
Southampton
-
Portsmouth
0:0
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 70:37 | 33 | 68 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:34 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Millwall | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Hull | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:45 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Southampton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:42 | 5 | 50 |
| 9 | Preston | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 49 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 49 |
| 11 | Derby | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
| 12 | Watford | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 13 | Stoke | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 47 |
| 14 | QPR | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 47 |
| 15 | Swansea | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 48:48 | 0 | 45 |
| 17 | Norwich | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 45:44 | 1 | 42 |
| 18 | Charlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 47:54 | -7 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 34 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20:68 | -48 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
