Wrexham vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
07/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, V Sport Fotbool
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.282.61
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
29
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
34
Passes
84% (388/460)78% (298/383)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.282.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.854.18
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
23
Headed goals
01
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1012
Passes
84% (388/460)78% (298/383)
Long passes
39% (20/51)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
65% (77/119)65% (80/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.80
Throw ins
1918
Fouls
1210
Tackles
75% (9/12)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
4.180.85
Goals prevented
-0.82-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Matsuki K. , Azaz F. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Downes F. ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Windass J. , Moore K. (A),
  • 37', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', Edozie S. , Scienza L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Larin C. ,
  • 65', Manning R. , Welington ,
  • 66', Larin C. , Stewart R. ,
  • 66', Stephens J. 🟨,
  • 72', Welington 🟨,
  • 72', Broadhead N. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 72', Dobson G. , James M. ,
  • 73', Kabore I. , Longman R. ,
  • 79', Azaz F. 🟨,
  • 81', Longman R. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Stewart R. , Welington (A),
  • 83', 1 - 5, Azaz F. , Charles S. (A),
  • 84', Windass J. , Smith S. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 85', Azaz F. , Archer C. ,
  • 85', Matsuki K. , Wood N. ,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
36.8%
Draw
28%
Southampton
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 26.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Wrexham - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.55)
    3.41
    (3.5)
    2.69
    (2.5)
    5.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 25%). S`hampton will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 29.6%64.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - S`hampton (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - S`hampton (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • Wrexham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • S`hampton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Hamstring Injury) James A. (Knee Injury) James M. (Toe Injury) O'Connor T. (Hamstring Injury) Sheaf B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Welington (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Southampton were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Southampton - Wrexham 2:1
    Latest results of Wrexham
    21.03.2026 Sheffield United - Wrexham 1:2
    17.03.2026 Watford - Wrexham 3:1
    13.03.2026 Wrexham - Swansea City 2:0
    10.03.2026 Wrexham - Hull City 1:2
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One