Wrexham vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
07/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, V Sport Fotbool
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.282.61
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
29
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
34
Passes
84% (388/460)78% (298/383)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.282.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.854.18
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
23
Headed goals
01
Big chances
15
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1012
Passes
84% (388/460)78% (298/383)
Long passes
39% (20/51)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
65% (77/119)65% (80/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.80
Throw ins
1918
Fouls
1210
Tackles
75% (9/12)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
4.180.85
Goals prevented
-0.82-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Matsuki K. , Azaz F. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Downes F. ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Windass J. , Moore K. (A),
  • 37', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', Edozie S. , Scienza L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Larin C. ,
  • 65', Manning R. , Welington ,
  • 66', Larin C. , Stewart R. ,
  • 66', Stephens J. 🟨,
  • 72', Welington 🟨,
  • 72', Broadhead N. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 72', Dobson G. , James M. ,
  • 73', Kabore I. , Longman R. ,
  • 79', Azaz F. 🟨,
  • 81', Longman R. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Stewart R. , Welington (A),
  • 83', 1 - 5, Azaz F. , Charles S. (A),
  • 84', Windass J. , Smith S. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 85', Azaz F. , Archer C. ,
  • 85', Matsuki K. , Wood N. ,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
36.8%
Draw
28%
Southampton
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 26.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Wrexham - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.55)
    3.41
    (3.5)
    2.69
    (2.5)
    5.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 25%). S`hampton will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 29.6%64.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - S`hampton (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - S`hampton (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • Wrexham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • S`hampton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Hamstring Injury) James A. (Knee Injury) James M. (Toe Injury) O'Connor T. (Hamstring Injury) Sheaf B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Welington (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Southampton were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Southampton - Wrexham 2:1
    Latest results of Wrexham
    21.03.2026 Sheffield United - Wrexham 1:2
    17.03.2026 Watford - Wrexham 3:1
    13.03.2026 Wrexham - Swansea City 2:0
    10.03.2026 Wrexham - Hull City 1:2
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich412112871:422975
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Southampton4220121073:502372
    5Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Portsmouth4212121843:57-1448
    20Blackburn4312121938:53-1548
    21West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One