Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
- 40', Chan Y. ↓, Leung Y. ↑,
- 43', Kwok T. B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chang H. M. ↓, Kuach Yuel V. ↑,
- 59', Leo ↓, Ho K. ↑,
- 59', Razeek A. ↓, Manzoki C. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Ichikawa S. ⚽,
- 74', Murilo ↓, Lucas Emmanuel ↑,
- 84', Ichikawa S. ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
- 84', Chan Y. T. ↓, Chak Ting-Fung ↑,
- 85', Kwok T. B. ↓, Yeung Cheuk-Kwan ↑,
- 88', Acosta J. L. 🟨,
- 88', Acosta J. L. ↓, Yung H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Eastern District
39% | Draw
26.7% | Southern District
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastern District's performance.Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern District might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastern District that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern District could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Eastern District - Southern District Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(3.16) |
3.41
(3.41) |
2.66 ↑
(2.07) |
9.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Eastern District - Southern District?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Eastern District will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Southern District will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastern District: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastern District (votes: 3 - 60%). Southern District (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 9).
- Recent performances by Eastern District have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Southern District has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Southern District may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eastern District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Eastern District won against Southern District?
Eastern District has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southern District won against Eastern District?
Southern District has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eastern District - Southern District were as follows:
25.10.2025
Southern District
-
Eastern District
1:1
Latest results of Eastern District
Latest results of Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47:15 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 47:19 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | North District | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern AA | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:28 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:33 | -11 | 21 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 17 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12:53 | -41 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation
