Result
3:1
26/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Eli D. (Own goal),
- 32', Bah M. H. 🟨,
- 40', Chiu W. 🟨,
- 42', Kang Jun-Hyeon ↓, Yang C. ↑,
- 45+4', Murilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Luizinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Yu Pui-Hong 🟨,
- 58', Song J. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Sasaki S. ⚽,
- 68', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
- 69', Wong L. ↓, Tsang Kam-To ↑,
- 69', Ho L. ↓, Loong T. ↑,
- 74', Chak Ting-Fung ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
- 74', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Danilo Santos ↑,
- 79', Chen Ngo-Hin ↓, Chan H. P. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Stefan ⚽,
- 87', Murilo ↓, Lai K. ↑,
- 87', Stefan ↓, Ichikawa S. ↑,
- 87', Kim Min-sub ↓, Kwok Y. ↑,
- 88', Kwok Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southern District
41.6% | Draw
25.1% | Kowloon City
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southern District's performance.Kowloon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kowloon City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern District that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kowloon City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Southern District - Kowloon City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.9) |
3.72 ↑
(3.6) |
2.82 ↑
(2) |
6.8%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 2.
- Southern District has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kowloon City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Southern District won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Southern District won against Kowloon City?
Southern District has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kowloon City won against Southern District?
Kowloon City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southern District - Kowloon City were as follows:
12.04.2026
Kowloon City
-
Southern District
2:1
22.11.2025
Southern District
-
Kowloon City
2:0
18.05.2025
Kowloon City
-
Southern District
0:2
25.01.2025
Southern District
-
Kowloon City
0:1
20.10.2024
Kowloon City
-
Southern District
2:1
Latest results of Southern District
Latest results of Kowloon City
Hong Kong Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kitchee ✔ | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 50:24 | 26 | 51 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 51:21 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | Tai Po | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | North District | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 41:35 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Eastern AA | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kitchee is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League 2
