Darlington vs Southport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Darlington - Southport
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Darlington
40.5%
Draw
26.8%
Southport
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 25.9% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 25.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.
  • Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Darlington - Southport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.93)
    3.44
    (3.53)
    2.85
    (3.41)
    8.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Southport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darlington - Southport were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Southport - Darlington 0:0
    21.09.2024 Darlington - Southport 3:0
    06.04.2024 Darlington - Southport 2:0
    09.01.2024 Southport - Darlington 2:0
    31.01.2023 Darlington - Southport 0:0
    Latest results of Darlington
    21.10.2025 Radcliffe - Darlington 3:1
    18.10.2025 Leamington - Darlington 0:1
    04.10.2025 Buxton - Darlington 1:0
    30.09.2025 Darlington - Fylde 3:1
    Latest results of Southport
    21.10.2025 Southport - Chorley 1:1
    18.10.2025 Oxford City - Southport 1:2
    11.10.2025 Southport - Halifax Town 1:3
    27.09.2025 Morpeth Town - Southport 1:3
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields12102026:52132
    2AFC Fylde1392233:161729
    3Scarborough1382322:18426
    4Radcliffe1381430:151525
    5Spennymoor1272322:21123
    6Chorley1363428:20821
    7Buxton1262420:18220
    8Kidderminster1355316:17-120
    9Macclesfield1253417:16118
    10Curzon Ashton1244419:17216
    11Merthyr Town1251621:25-416
    12Marine1251613:21-816
    13Worksop1343618:22-415
    14Chester1236316:20-415
    15Hereford1243514:18-415
    16Kingu2019s Lynn1235420:16414
    17Darlington1234518:18013
    18AFC Telford1234518:19-113
    19Bedford1234515:18-313
    20Leamington1333710:17-712
    21Alfreton122469:22-1310
    22Oxford City1322919:25-68
    23Southport1122710:18-88
    24Peterborough Sports1122710:22-128

          Promotion ~ National League
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          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation