Carpi vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
76
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
23
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Arena M. 🟨,
  • 12', Nador S. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Contiliano N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
  • 66', D'Orazio L. , Spini C. ,
  • 66', Awua T. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 67', Gerbi E. , Sall A. ,
  • 67', Contiliano N. , Campagna S. ,
  • 69', Figoli M. , Amayah P. ,
  • 77', Rossini M. 🟨,
  • 80', Sorzi M. 🟨,
  • 82', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
  • 85', Puletto F. , Saporetti S. ,
  • 85', Cortesi M. , Calanca A. ,

Chances of winning


Carpi
37.8%
Draw
29.6%
SPAL
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.5% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 30.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Carpi - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.12)
    3.05
    (3.14)
    2.77
    (3.02)
    10.7%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Carpi - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Carpi will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - SPAL were as follows:
    23.09.2024 SPAL - Carpi 2:1
    Latest results of Carpi
    19.01.2025 Carpi - Virtus Entella 0:3
    10.01.2025 Perugia - Carpi 1:0
    05.01.2025 Carpi - Milan Futuro 0:0
    22.12.2024 Rimini - Carpi 0:0
    14.12.2024 Sestri Levante - Carpi 1:3
    Latest results of SPAL
    18.01.2025 SPAL - Sestri Levante 1:1
    10.01.2025 Lucchese - SPAL 2:3
    05.01.2025 SPAL - Perugia 1:1
    20.12.2024 Ascoli - SPAL 1:1
    15.12.2024 Gubbio - SPAL 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo31217354:203470
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna32187745:301561
    4Pineto31139941:38348
    5Campobasso31148943:35848
    6Pianese311014733:30344
    7Juventus U23311281139:38144
    8Gubbio311013828:26243
    9Vis Pesaro311013832:29343
    10Ternana31139937:31643
    11Livorno321071533:46-1337
    12Guidonia318121125:28-336
    13Forli31981438:46-835
    14Carpi328101430:42-1234
    15Perugia317111332:38-632
    16Torres325161128:41-1331
    17Sambenedettese326111525:34-929
    18Bra315111532:49-1726
    19Pontedera313101826:55-2919
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation