SPAL vs Gubbio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
09
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
09
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Arena M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Parigini V. ,
  • 58', Parigini V. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 60', Rosaia G. , Tommasini C. ,
  • 60', Faggi F. , Proietti M. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 66', Paghera F. 🟨,
  • 67', Di Massimo A. , David A. ,
  • 67', Spina M. , Maisto F. ,
  • 68', Molina J. I. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 68', Paghera F. , Bassoli A. ,
  • 78', D'Avino L. , Rovaglia P. ,
  • 81', Spini C. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 82', Ntenda J. , Rao E. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
46.7%
Draw
27.5%
Gubbio
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 24.9% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 24.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • SPAL - Gubbio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.99)
    3.34
    (3.68)
    3.56
    (3.15)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for SPAL - Gubbio?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Gubbio (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 50%). Gubbio (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • SPAL is Serie C ~ Play Out
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • SPAL will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Karlsson O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Gubbio: Franchini S. (Inactive) Giovannini R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in SPAL: Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Gubbio were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Gubbio - SPAL 1:1
    07.04.2024 SPAL - Gubbio 3:0
    02.12.2023 Gubbio - SPAL 0:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    23.04.2025 Vis Pesaro - SPAL 1:1
    12.04.2025 SPAL - Pontedera 1:1
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    Latest results of Gubbio
    23.04.2025 Gubbio - Milan Futuro 3:2
    13.04.2025 Pescara - Gubbio 2:0
    05.04.2025 Gubbio - Ascoli 0:0
    29.03.2025 Carpi - Gubbio 0:2
    23.03.2025 Gubbio - Virtus Entella 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation