Genoa vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Genoa - SPAL
Result
3:0
25/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Genoa
61.7%
Draw
24.4%
SPAL
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 24.8% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 24.3% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Genoa - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.51)
    3.9
    (3.8)
    6.75
    (7.4)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Genoa - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (49.2%), has project points - 65, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (18.18%), has project points - 41, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 34, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3.
    • Recent matches Genoa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Genoa is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - SPAL were as follows:
    18.10.2022 Genoa - SPAL 1:0
    01.10.2022 SPAL - Genoa 0:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    19.02.2023 Modena - Genoa 2:2
    10.02.2023 Genoa - Palermo 2:0
    05.02.2023 Parma - Genoa 2:0
    28.01.2023 Genoa - Pisa 0:0
    21.01.2023 Benevento - Genoa 1:2
    Latest results of SPAL
    18.02.2023 SPAL - Como 1:1
    11.02.2023 Venezia - SPAL 2:1
    04.02.2023 SPAL - Bari 3:4
    27.01.2023 Cagliari - SPAL 2:1
    21.01.2023 SPAL - Ascoli 1:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2