Result
3:0
25/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Genoa
61.7% | Draw
24.4% | SPAL
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Genoa - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.51) |
3.9 ↑
(3.8) |
6.84 ↓
(7.4) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Genoa - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (49.2%), has project points - 65, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (18.18%), has project points - 41, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 34, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3.
- Recent matches Genoa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Genoa is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against SPAL?
Genoa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Genoa?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - SPAL were as follows:
18.10.2022
Genoa
-
SPAL
1:0
01.10.2022
SPAL
-
Genoa
0:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
