Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 14
- Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/326) | 73% (230/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/326) | 73% (230/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (12/50) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 62% (61/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Uchenna E. 🟨,
- 23', Fleisman J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Uchenna E. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
- 48', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
- 62', Mannsverk S. ↓, Vydra P. ↑,
- 62', Kuchta J. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Krcik D. (A),
- 72', 1 - 1, Mercado J. ⚽, Birmancevic V. (A),
- 73', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
- 76', Rynes M. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Gning A. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
- 80', Sigut S. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 84', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
- 84', Panak F. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
- 89', Labik A. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
- 89', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
17.6% | Draw
22.8% | Sparta Prague
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Karviná - Sparta Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.19 ↑
(5.08) |
4.1 ↓
(4.28) |
1.57 ↑
(1.53) |
7.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karviná - Sparta Prague?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Karviná (4.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Karviná (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Karviná (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sparta Prague (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 0.
- Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sparta Prague's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Karviná: Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Haraslin L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Singhateh E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Sadilek L.
(Health problems)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:42. (average 1.1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Sparta Prague?
Karviná has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Karviná?
Sparta Prague has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Sparta Prague were as follows:
15.02.2025
Karviná
-
Sparta Prague
2:3
03.12.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Karviná
4:1
10.02.2024
Karviná
-
Sparta Prague
0:3
27.08.2023
Sparta Prague
-
Karviná
3:1
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:25 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31:23 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | Karvina | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Zlin | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Teplice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Bohemians | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
