Result
0:3
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/380) | 72% (211/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/380) | 72% (211/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (61/81) | 64% (85/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (19/30) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.63 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Fiala J. 🟨,
- 19', Samko D. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Sevcik M. ⚽,
- 28', Sevcik M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Macek R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ayaosi E. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 46', Camara S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 46', Chytry J. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
- 63', Subert M. ↓, Kostka D. ↑,
- 63', John S. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 64', Kahuan Vinicius ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Kabongo C. ⚽,
- 77', 0 - 3, Macek R. ⚽, Kabongo C. (A),
- 78', Prebsl F. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
- 83', Kabongo C. ↓, Krulich M. ↑,
- 83', Sevcik M. ↓, Zika J. ↑,
- 83', Karafiat O. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
- 90+1', Krulich M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karviná
35.8% | Draw
26.3% | Mladá Boleslav
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karviná's form might have worsened.Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mladá Boleslav's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karviná, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karviná - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(1.94) |
3.58 ↓
(3.74) |
2.53 ↓
(3.47) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karviná - Mladá Boleslav?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mladá Boleslav will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Karviná is Qualified for Chance Liga (7th~10th places )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.
- Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Mladá Boleslav has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Mladá Boleslav has had a series of away games.
- Karviná might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karviná: Labik A.
(Health problems)
Sigut S.
(Suspended)
Storman R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Buryan J.
(Injury)
Ogungbayi B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Donat D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Mladá Boleslav?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Karviná?
Mladá Boleslav has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
25.10.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
2:4
30.03.2025
Karviná
-
Mladá Boleslav
3:1
27.10.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
1:1
13.12.2023
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
2:2
05.08.2023
Karviná
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:2
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Draw
7th-10th placesSemi-finals| 1 | Sigma Olomouc (7) | Bohemians (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | FK Pardubice (8) | Karvina (9) | 2 : 1 |
