Result
2:2
14/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 19
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/572) | 62% (117/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/572) | 62% (117/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (123/173) | 43% (22/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Icha M. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Krollis R. ⚽, Kayondo A. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, N'Guessan A. (Own goal),
- 45+2', Kayondo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Mercado J. 🟨,
- 55', Sorensen A. 🟨,
- 57', Eneme S. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
- 57', Soliu A. ↓, Letenay L. ↑,
- 68', Krollis R. ↓, Mahmic E. ↑,
- 68', Hodous P. ↓, Kozeluh J. ↑,
- 68', Zeleny J. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
- 68', Mercado J. ↓, Birmancevic V. ↑,
- 76', Rynes M. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
- 77', Masek L. 🟨,
- 78', Priske B. 🟨,
- 78', Kovac R. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 2, Letenay L. ⚽,
- 84', Masek L. ↓, Julis P. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Kuchta J. ⚽, Birmancevic V. (A),
- 87', N'Guessan A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kayondo A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kuchta J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sparta Prague
54.8% | Draw
24.9% | Slovan Liberec
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Prague's form might have worsened.Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovan Liberec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.49) |
3.8 ↓
(4.56) |
4.61 ↓
(5.58) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Slovan Liberec (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Slovan Liberec (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Slovan Liberec (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Slovan Liberec (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Slovan Liberec (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.
- Sparta Prague is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Slovan Liberec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Slovan Liberec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Knee Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Holly D.
(Health problems)
Uchenna E.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Gabriel S.
(Knee Injury)
Knapik J.
(Knee Injury)
Ryzek M.
(Inactive)
Spatenka F.
(Health problems)
Zyba Q.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Sparta Prague will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Slovan Liberec?
Sparta Prague has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slovan Liberec won against Sparta Prague?
Slovan Liberec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec were as follows:
17.08.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Sparta Prague
0:2
15.03.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Sparta Prague
1:0
19.10.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Slovan Liberec
2:1
18.02.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Slovan Liberec
2:1
03.09.2023
Slovan Liberec
-
Sparta Prague
0:2
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Latest results of Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
