Almere City vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
0:3
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.94
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (324/416)83% (326/393)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.833.70
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
86
Passes
78% (324/416)83% (326/393)
Long passes
55% (41/74)58% (38/66)
Passes in final third
71% (128/181)78% (61/78)
Crosses
32% (10/31)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.33
Throw-ins
3215
Fouls
68
Tackles
81% (13/16)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4658
Clearances
1152
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
3.700.83
Goals prevented
0.700.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 52', Young M. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Hlynsson K. (A),
  • 60', Lawrence J. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
  • 60', Jasim A. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Eerdhuijzen M. ⚽,
  • 71', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
  • 71', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
  • 84', Kitolano J. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
  • 84', Zechiel G. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
  • 90', 0 - 3, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
  • 90+2', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
  • 90+2', Lauritsen T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Almere City
35.2%		Draw
26.2%		Sparta Rotterdam
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 25.9% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.5% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.
  • Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.71 ↓
    (3.58)    		 3.65 ↑
    (3.64)    		 2.47 ↑
    (1.97)    		 4.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 32% – 80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
    • In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sparta Rotterdam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1.5:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City 2:2
    13.04.2024 Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam 2:3
    05.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City 1:2
    Latest results of Almere City
    27.04.2025 Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Heerenveen - Almere City 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Almere City 5:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Almere City - Zwolle 2:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    04.05.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 0:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen 3:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam 0:3 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV25212273:304365
    2Feyenoord25153755:352048
    3Ajax251111347:311644
    4Nijmegen25127661:431843
    5Twente251011441:261541
    6AZ Alkmaar25116842:40239
    7Sparta Rotterdam251141032:42-1037
    8Utrecht2597938:31734
    9Heerenveen2597942:43-134
    10Sittard25951139:45-632
    11Groningen25941233:35-231
    12G.A. Eagles25611838:39-129
    13Zwolle25771134:50-1628
    14FC Volendam25761229:41-1227
    15Excelsior25751326:42-1626
    16NAC Breda25571325:39-1422
    17Telstar25491231:41-1021
    18Heracles25521832:65-3317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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