Result
0:3
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/416) | 83% (326/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/416) | 83% (326/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 58% (38/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (128/181) | 78% (61/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.70 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', Young M. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Hlynsson K. (A),
- 60', Lawrence J. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 60', Jasim A. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Eerdhuijzen M. ⚽,
- 71', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
- 71', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 84', Kitolano J. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
- 84', Zechiel G. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 3, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
- 90+2', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
- 90+2', Lauritsen T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
35.2% | Draw
26.2% | Sparta Rotterdam
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.58) |
3.65 ↑
(3.64) |
2.47 ↑
(1.97) |
4.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 32% – 80.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
- In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1.5:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Almere City?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
19.10.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Almere City
2:2
13.04.2024
Almere City
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:3
05.11.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Almere City
1:2
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
