Result
2:2
07/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 22
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Suriname | QN Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/332) | 87% (500/577) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/332) | 87% (500/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (57/89) | 80% (174/217) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 18% (8/44) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Peterson K. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Lauritsen T. ⚽,
- 69', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 69', Pinto I. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
- 78', van Bergen M. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 78', Santos A. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 83', Hubner J. 🟨,
- 85', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
- 86', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 87', Terho C. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Oukili Y. ⚽, Kasanwirjo N. (A),
- 90+6', Oukili Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Terho C. ⚽, Mito S. (A),
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
31.4% | Draw
27.7% | Sparta Rotterdam
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.16) |
3.42 ↑
(3.42) |
2.33 ↓
(3.15) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 41.1% – 82.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Fortuna Sittard (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Sparta Rotterdam (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 10%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 9 - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.
- Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S.
(Yellow Cards)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Dahlhaus J.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Duijvestijn L.
(Inactive)
Lonwijk J.
(Inactive)
Tunjic L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Fortuna Sittard?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
22.11.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:1
29.03.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:3
28.09.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:1
30.03.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:0
13.01.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:2
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
