Result
3:2
10/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 18
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kiselev G. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
- 55', Yurganov I. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Tarasov N. ⚽,
- 62', Nemchenko A. ↓, Sadov D. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Pusi B. ⚽,
- 65', Uridia M. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 2, Tarasov N. ⚽,
- 71', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
- 71', Enin I. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
- 77', Pusi B. 🟨,
- 77', Alshin I. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
- 77', Yakimov V. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 79', Sadov D. 🟨,
- 87', Nazarenko E. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
- 90', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
- 90', Pusi B. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 90+2', Gongadze G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fakel
45.3% | Draw
30.9% | Spartak Kostroma
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Fakel - Spartak Kostroma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.96) |
3.1 ↓
(3.16) |
4.01 ↓
(4.38) |
4.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fakel - Spartak Kostroma?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Spartak Kostroma (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fakel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Spartak Kostroma?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Kostroma won against Fakel?
Spartak Kostroma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Spartak Kostroma were as follows:
20.07.2025
Spartak Kostroma
-
Fakel
0:1
Latest results of Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Torpedo Moscow | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 30:67 | -37 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
