SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 16
  • Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
06
Free Kicks
2123

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Bagiev S. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Bragin V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bagatelia L. , Simonov K. ,
  • 47', Magkeev S. 🟨,
  • 70', Bragin V. 🟨,
  • 75', Bragin V. , Alcalde J. ,
  • 76', Motpan N. , Uridia M. ,
  • 90+2', Pusi B. , Gabaraev A. ,
  • 90+2', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 90+3', Tur J. A. , Emeljanov R. ,
  • 90+4', Masternoy V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


SKA Khabarovsk
27.7%
Draw
31.1%
Fakel
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 32.4% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 32.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.26)
    3.02
    (2.93)
    2.28
    (2.47)
    6.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 4.
    • SKA Khabarovsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fakel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
    • Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
    Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
    Latest results of Fakel
    20.10.2025 Fakel - Rotor 4:0
    16.10.2025 Fakel - Ural 1:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh28185535:161959
    2Rodina Moscow281510348:242455
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

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