Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Orenburg
21.8%
Draw
24.4%
Spartak Moscow
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 24.2% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 23.2% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Orenburg - Spartak Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (4.5)
    3.92
    (3.82)
    1.77
    (1.67)
    4.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Spartak M is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 1:0
    02.03.2025 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 2:0
    21.07.2024 Orenburg - Spartak Moscow 2:0
    25.05.2024 Orenburg - Spartak Moscow 0:0
    14.03.2024 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 3:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    08.03.2026 Orenburg - Zenit 2:1
    04.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    28.02.2026 Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti 2:0
    20.02.2026 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 0:1
    Latest results of Spartak Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar21144342:162646
    2Zenit21136238:142445
    3Lokomotiv Moscow21118243:291441
    4Baltika21109226:91739
    5CSKA Moscow21113731:23836
    6Spartak Moscow21105633:30335
    7Dynamo Moscow2186736:27930
    8Rubin Kazan2185822:25-329
    9Akhmat Grozny2176826:28-227
    10Akron Togliatti2157926:33-722
    11FK Rostov2157917:24-722
    12Dynamo Makhachkala21561011:24-1321
    13Pari NN21621318:31-1320
    14Krylya Sovetov21551122:40-1820
    15Orenburg21461121:31-1018
    16Sochi21231620:48-289

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL