Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/346) | 82% (357/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/346) | 82% (357/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (74/121) | 72% (88/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽, Barco E. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Litvinov R. ⚽,
- 39', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 39', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Avanesyan T. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 61', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
- 69', Gurluk E. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
- 79', Savelyev M. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 79', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
- 82', Fernandes G. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 82', Barco E. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 83', Vedernikov D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
- 88', Marquinhos ↓, Polekh P. ↑,
- 88', Umyarov N. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
22.2% | Draw
23.9% | Spartak Moscow
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Orenburg - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.26 ↓
(4.5) |
3.95 ↑
(3.82) |
1.75 ↑
(1.67) |
5.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Spartak M will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Orenburg (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Spartak M is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Samoshnikov I.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Spartak Moscow?
Orenburg has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Orenburg?
Spartak Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
25.10.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Orenburg
1:0
02.03.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Orenburg
2:0
21.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Spartak Moscow
2:0
25.05.2024
Orenburg
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
14.03.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Orenburg
3:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
