Zenit vs Spartak Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg).

Premier League - Round 21
Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.10	0.46
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
4	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Passes
79% (274/347)	83% (351/425)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.10	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.08	0.00
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
11	4
Shots outside the box
1	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
20	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
20	6
Passes
79% (274/347)	83% (351/425)
Long passes
46% (23/50)	31% (8/26)
Passes in final third
69% (60/87)	74% (101/137)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.57
Throw ins
15	24
Fouls
6	20
Tackles
82% (18/22)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
54	39
Clearances
23	18
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	2.08
Goals prevented
0.00	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Marquinhos 🟨,
20', Wendel 🟨,
43', Solari P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Sobolev A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Sobolev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jhon Jhon ↓, Diveev I. ↑,
46', Glushenkov M. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
59', Zobnin R. ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
59', Martins C. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
59', Dmitriev I. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
71', Solari P. ↓, Bongonda T. ↑,
76', Sobolev A. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
77', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
80', Wooh C. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Duran J. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Reabciuk O. 🟨,
85', Marquinhos ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
87', Wendel ↓, Vega R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Zenit
50.2%

Draw
26.2%

Spartak Moscow
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Zenit - Spartak Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.64 ↑ (3.58)	4.03 ↑ (3.86)	4.9% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zenit - Spartak Moscow?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Zenit (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zenit will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zenit will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 1.
Recent performances by Zenit have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Spartak M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Zenit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Zenit is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S. (Knee Injury) Djiku A. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Zenit: Drkusic V. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Spartak Moscow?

Zenit has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Zenit?

Spartak Moscow has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Spartak Moscow were as follows:

16.08.2025 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 2:2

11.02.2025 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 0:3

24.08.2024 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 0:0

17.04.2024 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 0:0

03.04.2024 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 1:2

Latest results of Zenit

08.03.2026 Orenburg - Zenit 2:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit 0:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Krasnodar - Zenit 0:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Spartak Moscow

09.03.2026 Spartak Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 4:3 ✺

05.03.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow 5:2 ✺

02.03.2026 Sochi - Spartak Moscow 2:3 ✺

23.02.2026 Spartak Moscow - Yelimay Semey 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Spartak Moscow - Rostov 5:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	22	15	4	3	47:16	31	49
2	Zenit	22	14	6	2	41:15	26	48
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	22	12	8	2	48:30	18	44
4	Baltika	22	11	9	2	30:9	21	42
5	CSKA Moscow	22	12	3	7	34:24	10	39
6	Spartak Moscow	22	11	5	6	35:30	5	38
7	Rubin Kazan	22	8	6	8	22:25	-3	30
8	Akhmat Grozny	22	8	6	8	27:28	-1	30
9	Dynamo Moscow	22	8	6	8	37:30	7	30
10	Akron Togliatti	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22
11	FK Rostov	22	5	7	10	17:25	-8	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	22	5	6	11	12:27	-15	21
13	Krylya Sovetov	22	5	6	11	22:40	-18	21
14	Pari NN	22	6	2	14	18:36	-18	20
15	Orenburg	22	4	6	12	21:33	-12	18
16	Sochi	22	2	3	17	20:52	-32	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL