Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
88% (378/428) | 77% (232/301) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.96 | 1.36 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
88% (378/428) | 77% (232/301) |
Long passes |
---|
68% (26/38) | 46% (26/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (83/104) | 64% (43/67) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 46% (6/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.36 | 1.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.64 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', Cassierra M. (Pen),
- 14', 0 - 1, Cassierra M. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Marquinhos ⚽, Barco E. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Martins C. (A),
- 43', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 43', Santos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alip N. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
- 46', Cassierra M. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 52', Santos D. 🟨,
- 58', Luiz Henrique ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Sobolev A. ⚽,
- 65', Gerson ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 71', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 76', Litvinov R. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 77', Martins C. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 77', Ugalde M. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 77', Vega R. 🟨,
- 88', Barco E. (Pen),
- 90+3', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow 29.9% | Draw 29.1% | Zenit 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Spartak Moscow - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↓ (3.53) |
3.33 ↓ (3.63) |
2.36 ↑ (2.19) |
3.3% (1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Zenit?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zenit will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 1.
- Spartak M is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Zenit has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zenit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Garcia L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Zenit?
Spartak Moscow has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Spartak Moscow?
Zenit has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
11.02.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Zenit
0:3
24.08.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
17.04.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
03.04.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Zenit
1:2
02.03.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL