Spartak Moscow vs Zenit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Spartak Moscow - Zenit
Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.37
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
88% (378/428)77% (232/301)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.36
Total shots
159
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
88% (378/428)77% (232/301)
Long passes
68% (26/38)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
80% (83/104)64% (43/67)
Crosses
29% (6/21)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.36
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1410
Tackles
85% (11/13)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.361.96
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', Cassierra M. (Pen),
  • 14', 0 - 1, Cassierra M. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Marquinhos , Barco E. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Fernandes G. , Martins C. (A),
  • 43', Litvinov R. 🟨,
  • 43', Santos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alip N. , Vega R. ,
  • 46', Cassierra M. , Sobolev A. ,
  • 52', Santos D. 🟨,
  • 58', Luiz Henrique , Gondou L. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Sobolev A. ,
  • 65', Gerson , Mostovoy A. ,
  • 71', Marquinhos , Dmitriev I. ,
  • 76', Litvinov R. , Reabciuk O. ,
  • 77', Martins C. , Solari P. ,
  • 77', Ugalde M. , Zabolotnyi A. ,
  • 77', Vega R. 🟨,
  • 88', Barco E. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Gustavo Mantuan , Erakovic S. ,

Chances of winning


Spartak Moscow
29.9%
Draw
29.1%
Zenit
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 27.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.5% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Spartak Moscow - Zenit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.53)
    3.33
    (3.63)
    2.36
    (2.19)
    3.3%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Zenit?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zenit will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 1.
    • Spartak M is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Zenit has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Zenit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spartak M: Garcia L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 0:3
    24.08.2024 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 0:0
    17.04.2024 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 0:0
    03.04.2024 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 1:2
    02.03.2024 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 0:0
    Latest results of Spartak Moscow
    Latest results of Zenit
    12.08.2025 Zenit - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    09.08.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Zenit 1:0
    03.08.2025 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 1:1
    30.07.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Zenit 1:2
    27.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Zenit 2:2
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar751118:41416
    2CSKA Moscow743015:6915
    3Baltika743013:5815
    4Lokomotiv Moscow743018:11715
    5Zenit733113:7612
    6Spartak Moscow732210:11-111
    7Rubin Kazan732210:12-211
    8Krylya Sovetov723211:14-39
    9Dynamo Makhachkala72234:9-58
    10Dynamo Moscow72237:708
    11Akhmat Grozny72238:9-18
    12Orenburg71429:10-17
    13Akron Togliatti71339:10-16
    14FK Rostov71247:12-55
    15Pari NN71064:14-103
    16Sochi70164:19-151

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL