Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (378/428) | 77% (232/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (378/428) | 77% (232/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (83/104) | 64% (43/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', Cassierra M. (Pen),
- 14', 0 - 1, Cassierra M. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Marquinhos ⚽, Barco E. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Martins C. (A),
- 43', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 43', Santos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alip N. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
- 46', Cassierra M. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 52', Santos D. 🟨,
- 58', Luiz Henrique ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Sobolev A. ⚽,
- 65', Gerson ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 71', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 76', Litvinov R. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 77', Martins C. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 77', Ugalde M. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 77', Vega R. 🟨,
- 88', Barco E. (Pen),
- 90+3', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow
29.9% | Draw
29.1% | Zenit
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Spartak Moscow - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.53) |
3.33 ↓
(3.63) |
2.36 ↑
(2.19) |
3.3%
(1.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Zenit?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zenit will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Spartak M (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zenit (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 1.
- Spartak M is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Zenit has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zenit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Garcia L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Zenit?
Spartak Moscow has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Spartak Moscow?
Zenit has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
11.02.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Zenit
0:3
24.08.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
17.04.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
03.04.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Zenit
1:2
02.03.2024
Zenit
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
