Spartak Varna vs Krumovgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad
Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Round 29
  • Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
34
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
916
Fouls
910
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vutov A. ,
  • 34', Granchov A. , Tsvetkov A. ,
  • 45', Granchov A. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Sy S. 🟨,
  • 61', Sy S. , Cova A. ,
  • 68', Cova A. 🟨,
  • 68', Mitev V. 🟨,
  • 75', Mitkov D. , Lozev D. ,
  • 75', Berna , Xande ,
  • 77', Isuf A. , Keita I. ,
  • 78', Veiga T. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 85', Mitev V. , Konate P. ,
  • 85', Ivey R. , Ilic C. ,
  • 90+2', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vutov A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Spartak Varna
59.8%
Draw
24.9%
Krumovgrad
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.8% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 26.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Varna's performance.
  • Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Varna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.76)
    3.71
    (3.47)
    6.05
    (4.6)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Spartak Varna will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • Krumovgrad is Parva liga (Relegation Group )
    • Spartak Varna is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Krumovgrad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Spartak Varna is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Krumovgrad: Tartov G. (Yellow Cards) Tsvetanov M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Spartak Varna: Johnson K. (Injury) Nachev D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Varna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna 0:1
    01.11.2023 Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad 1:0
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Latest results of Krumovgrad
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia1182119:61326
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia1172219:10923
    3Ludogorets1064017:31422
    4Cherno More1164118:71122
    5Lok. Plovdiv1155112:11120
    6Botev Vratsa1135310:9114
    7Beroe1034311:14-313
    8Spartak Varna1126312:12012
    9Lok. Sofia1126310:10012
    10Arda1133511:12-112
    11Montana113268:19-1111
    12CSKA Sofia111739:10-110
    13Slavia Sofia1124512:17-510
    14Botev Plovdiv1131711:18-710
    15Septemvri Sofia1122712:24-128
    16Dobrudzha112188:17-97

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )