Sport Boys vs ADT Tarma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Sport Boys - ADT Tarma
Result
1:0
04/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruGOL Peru
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.80
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
76% (236/311)79% (305/387)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.72
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
76% (236/311)79% (305/387)
Long passes
43% (21/49)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
49% (27/55)61% (83/137)
Crosses
47% (8/17)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.68
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1115
Tackles
50% (6/12)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5439
Clearances
4729
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.721.72
Goals prevented
0.720.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Roca F. (Pen),
  • 34', Cabello C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Riojas H. (Pen),
  • 39', Narvaez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Roca F. , Lopez C. ,
  • 46', Fernandez A. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 48', Choi G. 🟨,
  • 61', Montenegro D. , Bazan N. ,
  • 61', Rengifo H. 🟨,
  • 70', Solis A. 🟨,
  • 71', Urruti L. , Gonzales E. ,
  • 71', Martinez F. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 79', Cedron V. , Pinto O. ,
  • 80', Da C. H. 🟨,
  • 81', Da C. H. 🟨,
  • 84', Perez A. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 85', Narvaez J. , Moyano A. ,
  • 86', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 87', Mora O. , Aranda S. ,
  • 90', Solis A. , Villalta B. ,

Chances of winning


Sport Boys
49.7%
Draw
27.8%
ADT Tarma
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Boys's performance.
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADT Tarma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADT Tarma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sport Boys - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.54)
    3.49
    (3.2)
    4.2
    (2.75)
    3.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sport Boys - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 2 - 25%). ADT will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sport Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.
    • Sport Boys is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sport Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, ADT has had a series of home games.
    • Sport Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sport Boys: Salazar R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Boys - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    27.02.2025 ADT Tarma - Sport Boys 2:2
    01.11.2024 ADT Tarma - Sport Boys 1:0
    26.05.2024 Sport Boys - ADT Tarma 1:0
    12.08.2023 Sport Boys - ADT Tarma 1:1
    10.03.2023 ADT Tarma - Sport Boys 1:0
    Latest results of Sport Boys
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal541011:01113
    2U. de Deportes541010:3713
    3Cusco44008:1712
    4Deportivo Garcilaso52307:349
    5Alianza Lima52214:408
    6Sport Huancayo52128:807
    7Alianza Atl51313:306
    8AD Tarma42022:4-26
    9Los Chankas42026:10-46
    10Cienciano51226:515
    11Binacional41212:205
    12Juan Pablo II51226:8-25
    13FBC Melgar51223:5-25
    14Grau41126:8-24
    15Alianza Huanuco51135:8-34
    16Ayacucho51134:7-34
    17Sport Boys51131:6-54
    18Comerciantes Unidos40224:7-32
    19Cajamarca40132:6-41

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