Result
2:3
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/542) | 60% (96/160) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/542) | 60% (96/160) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 80% (24/30) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (133/179) | 56% (24/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 15', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 2, Lopez C. ⚽, Carbajal C. (A),
- 38', Saba E. 🟨,
- 42', Otavio Gut 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
- 65', Escobar J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 66', Ampuero A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 66', Martinez F. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 68', Almiron M. 🟨,
- 70', Saba E. ↓, Salazar R. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Salazar R. (Own goal),
- 78', Urruti L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lopez C. ↓, Alvarado D. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Mena Y. (Pen),
- 90+10', Aubert E. 🟨,
- 90+15', 2 - 3, Alarcon J. (Pen),
- 90+16', Alarcon J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
43.6% | Draw
28.4% | Sport Boys
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Boys's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.71) |
3.36 ↓
(3.6) |
3.42 ↓
(4.1) |
6%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sport Boys (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 3.
- Recent performances by Alianza Universidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sport Boys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sport Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Universidad is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sport Boys: Nequecaur L.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Sport Boys?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Sport Boys has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys were as follows:
04.05.2025
Sport Boys
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
4:2
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Cajamarca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cusco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Moquegua | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | AD Tarma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Grau | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
