ADT Tarma vs Sport Huancayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.24
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (247/308)	75% (205/272)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	0.01
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
80% (247/308)	75% (205/272)
Long passes
57% (27/47)	40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)	65% (67/103)
Crosses
37% (7/19)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.49
Throw-ins
20	25
Fouls
14	6
Tackles
33% (2/6)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
32	37
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.01	1.16
Goals prevented
0.01	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Madrid J. 🟨,
42', Cabello C. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Narvaez J. 🟨,
62', Lujan N. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
62', Posito J. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
62', Angeles H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
70', Fernandez A. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
71', Magallanes P. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Moyano A. (A),
81', Rojas J. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
85', Villar E. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
85', Zamudio A. 🟨,
90', Sanguinetti J. 🟨,
90+5', Cabello C. 🟥,
90+7', Cedron V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

ADT Tarma
37.3%

Draw
29.1%

Sport Huancayo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	2.79 ↓ (3.62)	7.4% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Huancayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Huancayo (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Huancayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Sport Huancayo?

ADT Tarma has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against ADT Tarma?

Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo were as follows:

08.03.2025 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 2:1

25.08.2024 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1

31.03.2024 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 0:2

17.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1

22.04.2023 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 1:3

Latest results of ADT Tarma

04.08.2025 Sport Boys - ADT Tarma 1:0 ✺

31.07.2025 ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 0:3 ✺

19.07.2025 ADT Tarma - Cienciano 1:0 ✺

11.07.2025 ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos 1:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Los Chankas - ADT Tarma 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Sport Huancayo

03.08.2025 Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho 3:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo 5:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Sport Huancayo - Juan Pablo II College 5:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo 0:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Cusco - Sport Huancayo 3:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cajamarca	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
2	Alianza Lima	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
3	FBC Melgar	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
4	U. de Deportes	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
5	Los Chankas	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Sporting Cristal	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
7	FC Cajamarca	4	1	2	1	7:7	0	5
8	Deportivo Garcilaso	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Alianza Atl	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	Cienciano	4	1	1	2	8:6	2	4
11	Sport Huancayo	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4
12	Cusco	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
13	Sport Boys	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
14	Comerciantes Unidos	4	1	1	2	4:6	-2	4
15	AD Tarma	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4
16	Juan Pablo II	4	1	1	2	6:12	-6	4
17	Moquegua	4	1	0	3	3:8	-5	3
18	Grau	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

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