ADT Tarma vs Sport Huancayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo
Result
1:0
09/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.24
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
80% (247/308)75% (205/272)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.01
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
611
Passes
80% (247/308)75% (205/272)
Long passes
57% (27/47)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)65% (67/103)
Crosses
37% (7/19)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.49
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
146
Tackles
33% (2/6)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3237
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.011.16
Goals prevented
0.010.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Madrid J. 🟨,
  • 42', Cabello C. , Bazan N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Narvaez J. 🟨,
  • 62', Lujan N. , Carranza M. ,
  • 62', Posito J. , de Jesus M. ,
  • 62', Angeles H. , Herrera J. ,
  • 70', Fernandez A. , Moyano A. ,
  • 71', Magallanes P. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Rojas J. , Moyano A. (A),
  • 81', Rojas J. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 85', Villar E. , Huaccha R. ,
  • 85', Zamudio A. 🟨,
  • 90', Sanguinetti J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cabello C. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Cedron V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
37.3%
Draw
29.1%
Sport Huancayo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 28% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
  • Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2)
    3.21
    (3.32)
    2.79
    (3.62)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Huancayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 2:1
    25.08.2024 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    31.03.2024 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 0:2
    17.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    22.04.2023 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 1:3
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Sport Huancayo
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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