ADT Tarma vs Sport Huancayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo
Result
1:0
09/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.24
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
80% (247/308)75% (205/272)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.01
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
611
Passes
80% (247/308)75% (205/272)
Long passes
57% (27/47)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)65% (67/103)
Crosses
37% (7/19)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.49
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
146
Tackles
33% (2/6)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3237
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.011.16
Goals prevented
0.010.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Madrid J. 🟨,
  • 42', Cabello C. , Bazan N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Narvaez J. 🟨,
  • 62', Lujan N. , Carranza M. ,
  • 62', Posito J. , de Jesus M. ,
  • 62', Angeles H. , Herrera J. ,
  • 70', Fernandez A. , Moyano A. ,
  • 71', Magallanes P. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Rojas J. , Moyano A. (A),
  • 81', Rojas J. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 85', Villar E. , Huaccha R. ,
  • 85', Zamudio A. 🟨,
  • 90', Sanguinetti J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cabello C. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Cedron V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
37.3%
Draw
29.1%
Sport Huancayo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 28% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
  • Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2)
    3.21
    (3.32)
    2.79
    (3.62)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Huancayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 2:1
    25.08.2024 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    31.03.2024 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 0:2
    17.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    22.04.2023 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 1:3
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Sport Huancayo
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes743011:4715
    2Sporting Cristal642013:21114
    3Cusco54107:1613
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Alianza Huanuco73139:10-110
    7Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    8FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    9Los Chankas63039:13-49
    10Cienciano62227:528
    11Grau72149:11-27
    12AD Tarma72145:11-67
    13Alianza Atl51313:216
    14Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Ayacucho61145:9-44
    17Sport Boys71152:9-74
    18Cajamarca50234:8-42
    19Binacional00000:000

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