Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 86% (337/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 86% (337/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/99) | 75% (67/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (19/22) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.56 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Arias A. ⚽, Lazo M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Fernandez E. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Guzman L. ⚽, Lazo M. (A),
- 60', Lujan N. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
- 61', Madrid J. ↓, Barboza S. ↑,
- 68', de Jesus M. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
- 68', Carabano D. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
- 69', Guzman L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Magallanes P. (Pen),
- 76', 2 - 2, Barreda J. ⚽,
- 82', Llontop M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 82', Arias A. ↓, Saba E. ↑,
- 82', Posito J. 🟨,
- 87', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 87', Barreda M. ↓, Estela M. ↑,
- 87', Cabanillas N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Huancayo
49% | Draw
26.3% | FBC Melgar
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Huancayo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.61) |
3.54 ↑
(3.25) |
3.75 ↑
(2.7) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huancayo: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sport Huancayo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1.
- Huancayo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Huancayo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Huancayo: Ccorahua A.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Huancayo: Gaona M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against FBC Melgar?
Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Sport Huancayo?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar were as follows:
27.10.2024
Sport Huancayo
-
FBC Melgar
2:4
18.05.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Sport Huancayo
4:1
27.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Sport Huancayo
1:3
09.04.2023
Sport Huancayo
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of Sport Huancayo
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
