Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar
Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.69
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
81% (280/346)86% (337/393)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.44
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (280/346)86% (337/393)
Long passes
57% (28/49)55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)75% (67/89)
Crosses
21% (6/28)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.45
Throw-ins
2410
Fouls
108
Tackles
86% (19/22)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.442.07
Goals prevented
-1.560.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Arias A. , Lazo M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Fernandez E. , Carranza M. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Guzman L. , Lazo M. (A),
  • 60', Lujan N. , Posito J. ,
  • 61', Madrid J. , Barboza S. ,
  • 68', de Jesus M. , Huaccha R. ,
  • 68', Carabano D. , Magallanes P. ,
  • 69', Guzman L. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Magallanes P. (Pen),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Barreda J. ,
  • 82', Llontop M. , Cabanillas N. ,
  • 82', Arias A. , Saba E. ,
  • 82', Posito J. 🟨,
  • 87', Lazo M. , Ramos E. ,
  • 87', Barreda M. , Estela M. ,
  • 87', Cabanillas N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Huancayo
49%
Draw
26.3%
FBC Melgar
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 30% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Huancayo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.61)
    3.54
    (3.25)
    3.75
    (2.7)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Huancayo: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sport Huancayo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1.
    • Huancayo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melgar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Huancayo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Huancayo: Ccorahua A. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C. (Knee Injury) Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Huancayo: Gaona M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar 2:4
    18.05.2024 FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo 4:1
    27.08.2023 FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo 1:3
    09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar 1:1
    Latest results of Sport Huancayo
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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