FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Cori V. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Nativa
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.52
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (445/509)75% (168/225)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.48
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
614
Passes
87% (445/509)75% (168/225)
Long passes
60% (29/48)35% (14/40)
Passes in final third
79% (119/150)62% (33/53)
Crosses
28% (7/25)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.56
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
146
Tackles
55% (6/11)90% (9/10)
Duels won
2740
Clearances
1021
Interceptions
19
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.481.48
Goals prevented
0.48-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Orzan H. 🟨,
  • 22', Angeles H. 🟥,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Cuesta B. , Quagliata N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Orzan H. , Martinez T. ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Deneumostier A. , Quagliata N. (A),
  • 56', Huaccha R. , Lujan N. ,
  • 62', Madrid J. 🟨,
  • 67', Cabanillas N. , D'Arrigo J. ,
  • 67', Vidales J. , Lazo M. ,
  • 67', Carabano D. , Barboza S. ,
  • 70', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
  • 72', Deneumostier A. , Barrios P. ,
  • 76', Bordacahar C. , Arias A. ,
  • 86', Herrera J. , Perez A. ,
  • 86', Sanguinetti J. , Carranza M. ,

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
64.9%
Draw
21.6%
Sport Huancayo
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 21.5% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 20.5% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.38)
    4.34
    (4.25)
    6.72
    (7.5)
    7.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Huancayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melgar is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Huancayo: Fernandez E. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar 2:2
    27.10.2024 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar 2:4
    18.05.2024 FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo 4:1
    27.08.2023 FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo 1:3
    09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar 1:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Sport Huancayo
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )