Result
0:0
26/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/490) | 77% (272/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/490) | 77% (272/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 22% (10/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (107/149) | 52% (43/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Paciencia G. ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 56', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 62', Du Queiroz ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 62', Carlos Alberto ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 68', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
- 68', Bruninho ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 74', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 84', Igor Carius ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 88', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+1', Titi 🟨,
- 90+8', Titi 🟨,
- 90+12', Andrade K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
44.3% | Draw
29.2% | Fortaleza
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Recife - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.91) |
3.24 ↓
(3.36) |
3.56 ↑
(2.4) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 0.
- Recife has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recife will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
Rivera C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Inactive)
Moises
(Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: David Luiz
(Knock)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fortaleza?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Sport Recife?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fortaleza were as follows:
04.02.2025
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
0:2
26.05.2024
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
1:4
21.02.2024
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
