Result
0:0
26/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Passes |
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84% (412/490) | 77% (272/355) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.43 | 0.15 |
Total shots |
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16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 11 |
Passes |
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84% (412/490) | 77% (272/355) |
Long passes |
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43% (17/40) | 22% (10/46) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (107/149) | 52% (43/83) |
Crosses |
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17% (4/24) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.20 | 0.29 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 27 |
Fouls |
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11 | 9 |
Tackles |
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83% (10/12) | 43% (6/14) |
Duels won |
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48 | 39 |
Clearances |
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36 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.15 | 1.43 |
Goals prevented |
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0.15 | 1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Paciencia G. ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 56', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 62', Du Queiroz ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 62', Carlos Alberto ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 68', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
- 68', Bruninho ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 74', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 84', Igor Carius ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 88', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+1', Titi 🟨,
- 90+8', Titi 🟨,
- 90+12', Andrade K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 44.3% | Draw 29.2% | Fortaleza 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Recife - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.91) |
3.24 ↓ (3.36) |
3.56 ↑ (2.4) |
5% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 0.
- Recife has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recife will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
Rivera C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Inactive)
Moises
(Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: David Luiz
(Knock)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fortaleza?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Sport Recife?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fortaleza were as follows:
04.02.2025
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
0:2
26.05.2024
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
1:4
21.02.2024
Sport Recife
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet