Fortaleza vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Sport Recife
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.68
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (337/392)85% (302/356)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.22
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
86% (337/392)85% (302/356)
Long passes
55% (30/55)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
73% (82/113)59% (44/74)
Crosses
21% (6/28)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.55
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1716
Tackles
59% (13/22)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5456
Clearances
2545
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.220.36
Goals prevented
1.22-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 34', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
  • 35', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Lucas Sasha , Mancuso E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rafael Thyere , Silva J. ,
  • 58', Leo Pereira , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 58', Lucas Kal , Hyoran ,
  • 58', Bruno Pacheco , Diogo Barbosa ,
  • 68', Breno Lopes , Herrera J. ,
  • 68', Lucas Crispim , Guzman Y. ,
  • 72', Luan Candido 🟨,
  • 79', Lucas Lima , Romarinho ,
  • 82', Deyverson , Lucero J. ,
  • 83', Yago Pikachu , Kuscevic B. ,
  • 83', Matheusinho , Ramirez I. ,
  • 83', Aderlan 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
65.6%
Draw
24.9%
Sport Recife
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26.2% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 26.2% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.75)
    4.58
    (3.6)
    13.42
    (4.75)
    -9.4%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Recife will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
    • Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Recife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Britez E. (Yellow Cards) Guzman Y. (Inactive) Herrera J. (Knee Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Kayke (Inactive) Kuscevic B. (Hamstring Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pablo Roberto (Inactive) Tinga (Groin Injury) Weverson (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury) Ze Lucas (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Sport Recife were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:0
    04.02.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:2
    26.05.2024 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 1:4
    21.02.2024 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet