Sport Recife vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Fortaleza
Result
0:0
26/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.67
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
84% (412/490)77% (272/355)
Yellow Cards
04
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.15
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (412/490)77% (272/355)
Long passes
43% (17/40)22% (10/46)
Passes in final third
72% (107/149)52% (43/83)
Crosses
17% (4/24)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.29
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
119
Tackles
83% (10/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4839
Clearances
3635
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.151.43
Goals prevented
0.151.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Paciencia G. , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Breno Lopes , Andrade K. ,
  • 56', Lucero J. 🟨,
  • 62', Du Queiroz , Ortiz C. ,
  • 62', Carlos Alberto , Atencio R. ,
  • 68', Diogo Barbosa , Mancuso E. ,
  • 68', Bruninho , Ze Welison ,
  • 74', Matheus Rossetto , Fernandez P. ,
  • 84', Igor Carius , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 88', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 90+1', Titi 🟨,
  • 90+8', Titi 🟨,
  • 90+12', Andrade K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
44.3%
Draw
29.2%
Fortaleza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 28.1% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.4% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sport Recife - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.91)
    3.24
    (3.36)
    3.56
    (2.4)
    5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 0.
    • Recife has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recife will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Recife: Dalbert (Calf Injury) Igor Carius (Hamstring Injury) Rafael Thyere (Injury) Rivera C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Bruno Pacheco (Inactive) Marinho (Inactive) Moises (Injury) Pochettino T. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Pablo (Ankle Injury) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: David Luiz (Knock)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fortaleza were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:2
    26.05.2024 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 1:4
    21.02.2024 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2
    10.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Fortaleza Abandoned
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet