Palmeiras vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Sport Recife
Result
3:0
25/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 21
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.35
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
83% (309/374)85% (371/437)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.210.35
xG on target (xGOT)
3.450.01
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (309/374)85% (371/437)
Long passes
58% (31/53)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
76% (79/104)65% (64/99)
Crosses
64% (9/14)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.42
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1412
Tackles
55% (12/22)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5346
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.013.45
Goals prevented
0.010.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Lopez J. , Vitor Roque (A),
  • 21', Kevyson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Gomez G. , Mauricio (A),
  • 60', Kevyson , Aderlan ,
  • 60', Pablo , Ramirez I. ,
  • 60', Ze Lucas , Pedro Augusto ,
  • 68', Felipe Anderson , Sosa R. ,
  • 68', Mauricio , Torres F. ,
  • 82', Lucas Lima , Romarinho ,
  • 84', Lucas Evangelista , Allan ,
  • 84', Khellven , Giay A. ,
  • 85', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 90+2', Piquerez J. , Jefte ,
  • 90+2', Leo Pereira , Chrystian Barletta ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
71.4%
Draw
18.9%
Sport Recife
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 20.3% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 19.3% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Palmeiras - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.38)
    5
    (4.63)
    9.85
    (8.3)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 60%). Recife (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
    • Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Recife's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Carlos Miguel (Inactive) Moreno A. (Yellow Cards) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Raphael Veiga (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Derik Lacerda (Yellow Cards) Hereda (Health problems) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Sport Recife were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Sport Recife - Palmeiras 1:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    16.08.2025 Sport Recife - São Paulo 2:2
    10.08.2025 Grêmio - Sport Recife 0:1
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    26.07.2025 Sport Recife - Santos 2:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ29187456:164061
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Fortaleza29761627:44-1727
    19Juventude29751723:53-3026
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet