Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/356) | 78% (281/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/356) | 78% (281/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 53% (43/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Torres F. 🟨,
- 20', Murilo 🟨,
- 21', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 30', Hereda ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Flaco Lopez (Pen),
- 32', Chico 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 43', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 45', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vanderlan ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Estevao ↑,
- 59', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 59', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 73', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 74', Pablo 🟨,
- 79', Du Queiroz ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 79', Pablo ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 83', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 83', Lucas Lima ↓, Lobato L. ↑,
- 84', Oliveira S. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Raphael Veiga (Pen),
- 90+4', Vitor Roque 🟨,
- 90+7', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
27.4% | Draw
30.2% | Palmeiras
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Recife - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(5.98) |
3.22 ↓
(3.93) |
2.2 ↑
(1.58) |
4.5%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Recife (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 0.
- Recife is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Palmeiras is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Atencio R.
(Toe Injury)
Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
Pedro Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Igor Carius
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Mauricio
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Recife won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Palmeiras?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Sport Recife?
Palmeiras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Palmeiras were as follows:
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
