Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pernambucano - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Ramon Menezes ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Diego Guerra ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 2, Luiz Henrique ⚽,
- 42', Davi Gabriel 🟨,
- 45+5', Dankler 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
- 46', Yago Felipe ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 46', Davi Gabriel ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 56', Rafinha 🟨,
- 63', Murilo Cosmo ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
- 64', Iury Castilho ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
- 65', de Pena C. ↓, Max Alves ↑,
- 70', Diego Guerra ↓, Douglas ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Benevenuto ⚽,
- 75', 🟨,
- 76', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 78', Luiz Henrique ↓, Lucas Sampaio ↑,
- 78', Luiz Henrique ↓, Ericson ↑,
- 78', Gustavo ↓, Iury ↑,
- 85', Rafinha 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 2, Max Alves ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
56.3% | Draw
26.1% | Retrô Brasil
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62
(1.62) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
5.21 ↑
(4.95) |
9.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.
- Recife has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Retrô's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Recife is the team to beat.
- We predict that Recife will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Recife won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Retrô Brasil?
Sport Recife has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Sport Recife?
Retrô Brasil has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
12.02.2026
Retrô Brasil
-
Sport Recife
0:1
14.01.2026
Sport Recife
-
Retrô Brasil
2:0
02.04.2025
Sport Recife
-
Retrô Brasil
2:2
22.03.2025
Retrô Brasil
-
Sport Recife
2:3
18.01.2025
Sport Recife
-
Retrô Brasil
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Retrô Brasil
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nautico | Santa Cruz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sport Recife | Retro | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final
