Result
2:3
31/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (378/448) | 84% (317/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.53 | 2.00 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
84% (378/448) | 84% (317/379) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (29/56) | 38% (16/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (113/158) | 66% (39/59) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (8/31) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.42 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.00 | 1.53 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.00 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 17', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima (Pen),
- 26', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 33', Jair ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 43', 1 - 2, Coutinho ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 3, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 66', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 66', Ze Lucas ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 74', 2 - 3, Ramon Menezes ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 75', Matheusinho ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 75', Aderlan ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 79', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 79', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
- 85', Cauan Barros ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 88', Silva J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 90+6', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 34.9% | Draw 29.7% | Vasco da Gama 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.44) |
3.35 ↑ (3.03) |
2.75 ↓ (2.99) |
0.8% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Inactive)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Lucas Lima
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Cauan Barros
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Vasco da Gama?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Sport Recife?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
12.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Sport Recife
3:1
16.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
11 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
12 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet