Result
2:3
31/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/448) | 84% (317/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/448) | 84% (317/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/158) | 66% (39/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 17', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima (Pen),
- 26', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 33', Jair ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 43', 1 - 2, Coutinho ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 3, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 66', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 66', Ze Lucas ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 74', 2 - 3, Ramon Menezes ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 75', Matheusinho ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 75', Aderlan ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 79', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 79', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
- 85', Cauan Barros ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 88', Silva J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 90+6', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
34.9% | Draw
29.7% | Vasco da Gama
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.44) |
3.35 ↑
(3.03) |
2.75 ↓
(2.99) |
0.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Inactive)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Lucas Lima
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Cauan Barros
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Vasco da Gama?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Sport Recife?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
12.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Sport Recife
3:1
16.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
