Result
2:2
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (310/358) | 85% (330/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (310/358) | 85% (330/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (26/41) | 64% (27/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (83/106) | 70% (49/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
- 23', Ze Marcos 🟨,
- 31', Ze Lucas 🟨,
- 33', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Ramirez I. ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 46', Lucas Braga ↓, Felipe Cardoso ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽, Caceres R. (A),
- 55', Erick 🟨,
- 60', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 69', Ze Lucas ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 69', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 70', Matheuzinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 70', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 82', Willian Oliveira ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
- 82', Lucas Lima ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 85', Baralhas 🟨,
- 87', Rivera C. ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Romarinho ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽, Ronald Lopes (A),
- 90+7', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Romarinho ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 41.9% | Draw 31.9% | Sport Recife 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória Salvador's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↑ (1.96) |
3 ↓ (3.33) |
3.66 ↓ (4) |
4.9% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Recife will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 34.3% – 74.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vitória Salvador will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
- Recent performances by Vitória have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vitória is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
Osvaldo
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Injury)
Pablo
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Sport Recife?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Vitória Salvador?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife were as follows:
19.03.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Sport Recife
1:0
18.11.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Sport Recife
1:0
19.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Vitória Salvador
1:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet