Cusco vs Sporting Cristal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Sporting Cristal
Result
3:2
14/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.981.47
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
92% (540/587)84% (340/405)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.981.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.531.83
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
53
Passes
92% (540/587)84% (340/405)
Long passes
45% (14/31)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
74% (81/110)69% (59/85)
Crosses
31% (9/29)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.30
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
47
Tackles
50% (3/6)73% (8/11)
Duels won
2423
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.832.53
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Sosa L. ,
  • 12', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 12', Pretell J. 🟨,
  • 14', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Callejo F. , Colman I. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Da Silva P. , Silva N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lutiger R. , Pasquini N. ,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Avila I. ,
  • 64', Da Silva P. , Colitto L. ,
  • 67', Avila I. , Pacheco F. ,
  • 67', Tavara M. , Gonzales C. ,
  • 76', Pretell J. , Posito Olazabal A. J. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Callejo F. ,
  • 85', Araujo M. 🟥,
  • 85', Pacheco F. 🟨,
  • 85', Silva N. 🟨,
  • 86', Silva N. , Tevez J. ,
  • 86', Ruidias M. , Zevallos J. ,
  • 89', Colman I. , Aucca M. ,
  • 90', Castro M. , Rodriguez M. ,

Chances of winning


Cusco
44.7%
Draw
28.1%
Sporting Cristal
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 26.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Cusco - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.15)
    3.41
    (3.33)
    3.4
    (3.23)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cusco - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1.
    • Cusco has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sporting Cristal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Cusco is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    22.09.2024 Cusco - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    21.04.2024 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 2:0
    29.09.2023 Cusco - Sporting Cristal 4:1
    20.05.2023 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 3:2
    Latest results of Cusco
    17.08.2025 Cusco - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    04.08.2025 Cajamarca - Cusco 1:2
    27.07.2025 FBC Melgar - Cusco 0:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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