Result
2:0
14/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (287/349) | 80% (257/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (287/349) | 80% (257/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (52/75) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Pacheco F. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Colman I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 54', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 60', Pacheco F. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
- 61', Wisdom I. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
- 61', Cazonatti G. ↓, Pretell J. ↑,
- 65', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 66', Otoya D. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 69', Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 74', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 76', Castro M. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
- 79', Da Silva P. 🟥,
- 86', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cusco
52.4% | Draw
26.2% | Sporting Cristal
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cusco - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.34) |
3.55 ↑
(3.25) |
4.35 ↑
(2.96) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cusco - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1.
- Cusco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting Cristal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cusco is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cusco: Milesi A.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cusco: Custodio A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Sporting Cristal?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cusco?
Sporting Cristal has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
10.12.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
1:0
14.09.2025
Cusco
-
Sporting Cristal
3:2
13.04.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
1:0
22.09.2024
Cusco
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
21.04.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
2:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
