Result
3:2
14/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (540/587) | 84% (340/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (540/587) | 84% (340/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (81/110) | 69% (59/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Sosa L. ⚽,
- 12', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 12', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 14', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Callejo F. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Da Silva P. ⚽, Silva N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lutiger R. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Avila I. ⚽,
- 64', Da Silva P. ↓, Colitto L. ↑,
- 67', Avila I. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 67', Tavara M. ↓, Gonzales C. ↑,
- 76', Pretell J. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,
- 85', Araujo M. 🟥,
- 85', Pacheco F. 🟨,
- 85', Silva N. 🟨,
- 86', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 86', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 89', Colman I. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 90', Castro M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cusco
44.7% | Draw
28.1% | Sporting Cristal
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Cusco - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.15) |
3.41 ↑
(3.33) |
3.4 ↑
(3.23) |
5.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cusco - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1.
- Cusco has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting Cristal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Cusco is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Sporting Cristal?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cusco?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
1:0
22.09.2024
Cusco
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
21.04.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
2:0
29.09.2023
Cusco
-
Sporting Cristal
4:1
20.05.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Cusco
3:2
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
