Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (208/267) | 89% (465/521) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (208/267) | 89% (465/521) |
| Long passes |
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| 51% (40/79) | 69% (37/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 70% (94/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Quiroz A. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Araujo M. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
- 44', Lutiger R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cazonatti G. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
- 60', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
- 61', Gabriel ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
- 68', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
- 69', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 74', Pimienta C. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
- 74', Sosa L. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Ayarza A. ⚽,
- 79', Torres M. 🟨,
- 83', Quiroz A. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
- 86', Barrios K. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Iberico L. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Los Chankas 31.7% | Draw 27.7% | Sporting Cristal 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.69) |
3.36 ↑ (3.16) |
2.3 ↓ (2.56) |
7.8% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting Cristal will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- Los Chankas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Sporting Cristal?
Los Chankas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Los Chankas?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
26.10.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Los Chankas
0:1
25.09.2025
Los Chankas
-
Sporting Cristal
Postponed
21.06.2025
Los Chankas
-
Sporting Cristal
3:1
31.07.2024
Los Chankas
-
Sporting Cristal
3:3
15.02.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Los Chankas
4:1
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )