Result
3:1
21/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (163/221) | 87% (389/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (163/221) | 87% (389/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 75% (108/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -2.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Gonzales C. ⚽, Lora J. (A),
- 18', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Bueno P. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Takeuchi O. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
- 44', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 45', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wisdom I. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 57', Tavara M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 57', Castro M. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
- 59', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 60', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑,
- 74', Mogollon E. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑,
- 75', Torres F. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Takeuchi O. ⚽, Gonzales D. (A),
- 77', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
- 77', Lora J. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
- 83', Takeuchi O. ↓, Mifflin L. ↑,
- 83', Pimienta C. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
- 90+8', Gonzales C. (Pen),
- 90+9', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
29.1% | Draw
27% | Sporting Cristal
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↓
(3.96) |
3.45 ↓
(3.82) |
2.1 ↑
(1.86) |
7.7%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting Cristal will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Sporting Cristal?
Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Los Chankas?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
31.07.2024
Los Chankas
-
Sporting Cristal
3:3
15.02.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Los Chankas
4:1
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
