Sporting Cristal vs Moquegua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.461.86
Ball possession
78%22%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
102
Passes
88% (491/557)60% (94/157)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.461.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.64
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
145
Passes
88% (491/557)60% (94/157)
Long passes
65% (36/55)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
76% (131/173)53% (30/57)
Crosses
25% (8/32)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.17
Throw ins
2715
Fouls
514
Tackles
50% (4/8)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
2.641.02
Goals prevented
0.640.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Lastre E. , Chipao R. (A),
  • 17', Enciso C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Mejia C. ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Tavara M. , Castillo G. ,
  • 58', Iberico L. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 62', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
  • 72', Lastre E. , Davila A. ,
  • 72', Cristiano , del Valle Y. ,
  • 72', Avila I. , Vizeu F. ,
  • 76', Mejia C. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 83', Wisdom I. , Burga J. ,
  • 83', Chipao R. , Lojas J. ,
  • 84', Collazos J. , Lopez J. ,
  • 85', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
  • 87', Zapata Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
75.3%
Draw
17.6%
Moquegua
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 21.2% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 20.3% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.
  • Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Sporting Cristal - Moquegua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.37)
    5.39
    (4.32)
    13.23
    (7.63)
    7.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Moquegua?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Sporting Cristal (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel (Injury) Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of Moquegua
    21.03.2026 Moquegua - Cusco 1:2
    07.03.2026 Moquegua - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    28.02.2026 Sport Boys - Moquegua 0:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Lima1292122:51729
    2Los Chankas1292121:14729
    3Cienciano1272326:161023
    4U. de Deportes1263318:12621
    5Comerciantes Unidos1254317:15219
    6Cusco1261515:19-419
    7FBC Melgar1252518:16217
    8Cajamarca1244418:18016
    9Moquegua1251614:18-416
    10Juan Pablo II1243518:27-915
    11Sporting Cristal1242620:20014
    12Alianza Atl1235411:11014
    13AD Tarma1234515:15013
    14Deportivo Garcilaso1234512:16-413
    15Sport Huancayo1233614:18-412
    16Sport Boys1233611:16-512
    17Grau122469:14-510
    18FC Cajamarca1213813:22-96

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