Result
1:2
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (496/575) | 81% (293/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (496/575) | 81% (293/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (123/171) | 70% (64/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Joveljic D. (Pen),
- 19', Desler M. 🟨,
- 29', Djordjevic M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Wolff O. ⚽, Guilherme Biro (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Leibold T. ↓, Ndenbe L. ↑,
- 61', Munoz S. ↓, Toye M. ↑,
- 67', Obrian J. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 67', Gallagher J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 74', Bartlett J. 🟨,
- 74', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 76', Suleymanov S. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Fodrey C. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
- 83', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 83', Rubio D. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
- 83', Montes A. ↓, Miller J. ↑,
- 85', Bartlett J. ↓, Radoja N. ↑,
- 86', Kolmanic Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Kansas City
40.7% | Draw
25.7% | Austin FC
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.37) |
3.68 ↓
(3.9) |
2.8 ↑
(2.58) |
5.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2.
- Recent form of Kansas City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kansas City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kansas City: Garcia M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Austin: Cascante J.
(International duty)
Sanchez I.
(Knee Injury)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Austin FC?
Sporting Kansas City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Sporting Kansas City?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC were as follows:
22.02.2025
Austin FC
-
Sporting Kansas City
1:0
29.06.2024
Sporting Kansas City
-
Austin FC
2:0
18.05.2024
Austin FC
-
Sporting Kansas City
3:2
15.07.2023
Austin FC
-
Sporting Kansas City
2:1
10.06.2023
Sporting Kansas City
-
Austin FC
4:1
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
Latest results of Austin FC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
