Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC
Result
1:2
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
86% (496/575)81% (293/363)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.40
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (496/575)81% (293/363)
Long passes
55% (24/44)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
72% (123/171)70% (64/92)
Crosses
23% (6/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.80
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1213
Tackles
80% (8/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3436
Clearances
733
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.401.33
Goals prevented
-0.600.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Joveljic D. (Pen),
  • 19', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 29', Djordjevic M. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Wolff O. , Guilherme Biro (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Leibold T. , Ndenbe L. ,
  • 61', Munoz S. , Toye M. ,
  • 67', Obrian J. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 67', Gallagher J. , Taylor R. ,
  • 74', Bartlett J. 🟨,
  • 74', Guilherme Biro , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 76', Suleymanov S. , Thommy E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Fodrey C. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 83', Dubersarsky N. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 83', Rubio D. , Torres E. ,
  • 83', Montes A. , Miller J. ,
  • 85', Bartlett J. , Radoja N. ,
  • 86', Kolmanic Z. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City
40.7%
Draw
25.7%
Austin FC
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 24.1% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 24.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.37)
    3.68
    (3.9)
    2.8
    (2.58)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2.
    • Recent form of Kansas City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kansas City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Garcia M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Austin: Cascante J. (International duty) Sanchez I. (Knee Injury) Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    29.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC 2:0
    18.05.2024 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 3:2
    15.07.2023 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    10.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC 4:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    09.08.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 2:2
    26.07.2025 DC United - Austin FC 2:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2