Result
5:1
22/04/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 3 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.27 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 37 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (520/586) | 74% (200/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.27 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.05 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 37 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 61 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (520/586) | 74% (200/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (32/49) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (125/159) | 52% (37/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (12/40) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 5.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Rosales J. ⚽,
- 38', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 45+1', Edwards E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 54', Roberts R. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Jasinski J. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
- 66', Fodrey C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 66', Alastuey J. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
- 68', Jasinski J. 🟨,
- 71', Rosales J. 🟨,
- 75', Jasinski J. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Leroux B. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Marie P. (A), Werner T. (A2)
- 85', 4 - 1, Bouda O. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
- 87', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
- 87', Rosales J. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
- 88', 5 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Marie P. (A), Bouda O. (A2)
- 90', Werner T. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 90', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
- 90', Vieira R. ↓, Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes
64.8% | Draw
19.9% | Austin FC
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.61) |
4.77 ↑
(3.9) |
6.19 ↑
(4.8) |
4.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
- San Jose is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Austin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Jose is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Austin: Pereira D.
(Injury)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
Wolff O.
(Groin Injury)
- We predict that San Jose will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC were as follows:
18.10.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
2:1
30.08.2025
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
3:1
08.07.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
2:3
25.05.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
06.04.2024
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
