Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/549) | 88% (435/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/549) | 88% (435/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (92/126) | 76% (104/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Bassong Z. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Pereyra J. ⚽,
- 64', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽, Triantis N. (A),
- 64', Rodriguez M. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
- 75', Markanich A. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 75', Ndenbe L. ↓, Leibold T. ↑,
- 75', Toye M. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
- 75', Radoja N. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 81', Lod R. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
- 81', Trapp W. ↓, Dotson H. ↑,
- 82', Triantis N. ↓, Fitz D. ↑,
- 86', Hlongwane B. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
- 88', Bassong Z. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
- 90+1', Davis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
63% | Draw
19.1% | Sporting Kansas City
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.53) |
4.92 ↑
(4.25) |
5.3 ↓
(5.7) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Minnesota is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
- Recent performances by Minnesota have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kansas City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Minnesota is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Minnesota: Harvey C.
(Leg Injury)
Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
Yeboah K.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Kansas City: Garcia M.
(Muscle Injury)
Leibold T.
(Chest Injury)
Suleymanov S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kansas City: Brody A.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thommy E.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Sporting Kansas City?
Minnesota United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Minnesota United?
Sporting Kansas City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
15.03.2025
Sporting Kansas City
-
Minnesota United
3:3
21.09.2024
Sporting Kansas City
-
Minnesota United
0:2
01.06.2024
Minnesota United
-
Sporting Kansas City
3:1
27.04.2024
Minnesota United
-
Sporting Kansas City
2:1
21.10.2023
Sporting Kansas City
-
Minnesota United
3:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
