Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (647/727) | 86% (344/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (647/727) | 86% (344/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (139/175) | 75% (83/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bombino L. ⚽, Morgan L. (A),
- 11', McVey C. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Duncan K. ⚽, Chancalay T. (A),
- 30', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', McVey C. 🟨,
- 53', Zamble B. B. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
- 68', Romero N. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
- 68', Gene O. ↓, Trapp W. ↑,
- 69', Pereyra J. 🟨,
- 71', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
- 73', Morgan L. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 80', Godoy A. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
- 80', Verhoeven O. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
- 83', Yeboah K. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
- 83', Pereyra J. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego
50.5% | Draw
24.7% | Minnesota United
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego's form might have worsened.Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
San Diego - Minnesota United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.66) |
3.84 ↓
(4.08) |
3.84 ↓
(4.28) |
5.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for San Diego - Minnesota United?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Duah M.
(Red Card)
Pellegrino A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pilcher I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sargeant K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Minnesota: Boxall M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gressel J.
(Toe Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Illness)
Stroud P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Trapp W.
(Illness)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Minnesota United?
San Diego has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against San Diego?
Minnesota United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Minnesota United were as follows:
24.11.2025
San Diego
-
Minnesota United
1:0
13.09.2025
San Diego
-
Minnesota United
1:3
14.06.2025
Minnesota United
-
San Diego
2:4
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Minnesota United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
