Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon
Result
2:1
14/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
finlandFinlandViaplay
italyItalySky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Atalanta
52.5%
Draw
25.1%
Sporting Lisbon
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.13)
    3.84
    (3.7)
    4.29
    (3.31)
    3.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (99 of 121 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.95%88.69%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Atalanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.
    • Atalanta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Rossi F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Adan A. (Thigh Injury) Morita H. (Illness)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    30.11.2023 Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    05.10.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    10.03.2024 Juventus - Atalanta 2:2
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    03.03.2024 Atalanta - Bologna 1:2
    28.02.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0
    25.02.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    10.03.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    03.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:2
    29.02.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1
    25.02.2024 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 3:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    45ZrinjskiBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 0
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 0
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    23ZrinjskiBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ByeTBD #10
    6TBD #11Bye
    7ByeTBD #14
    8Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    10ByeKuPS
    11HamrunBye
    12ZrinjskiBye
    13ByeDrita