Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon
Result
2:1
14/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
finlandFinlandViaplay
italyItalySky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Atalanta
52.5%
Draw
25.1%
Sporting Lisbon
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.13)
    3.84
    (3.7)
    4.29
    (3.31)
    3.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (99 of 121 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.95%88.69%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Atalanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.
    • Atalanta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Rossi F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Adan A. (Thigh Injury) Morita H. (Illness)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    30.11.2023 Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    05.10.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    10.03.2024 Juventus - Atalanta 2:2
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    03.03.2024 Atalanta - Bologna 1:2
    28.02.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0
    25.02.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    10.03.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    06.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta 1:1
    03.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:2
    29.02.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1
    25.02.2024 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 3:3
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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