Result
2:1
14/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | SuperSport |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Finland | Viaplay |
Italy | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | ESPN |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Sweden | TV6, Viaplay |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Chances of winning
Atalanta 52.5% | Draw 25.1% | Sporting Lisbon 22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (2.13) |
3.84 ↑ (3.7) |
4.29 ↑ (3.31) |
3.9% (4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(99 of 121 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.95% – 88.69%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Atalanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.
- Atalanta will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Rossi F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Adan A.
(Thigh Injury)
Morita H.
(Illness)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Sporting Lisbon?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Atalanta?
Sporting Lisbon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
06.03.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Atalanta
1:1
30.11.2023
Atalanta
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
05.10.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Atalanta
1:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)