Result
2:1
14/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | TV6, Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Chances of winning
Atalanta
52.5% | Draw
25.1% | Sporting Lisbon
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.13) |
3.84 ↑
(3.7) |
4.29 ↑
(3.31) |
3.9%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(99 of 121 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.95% – 88.69%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Atalanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.
- Atalanta will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Rossi F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Adan A.
(Thigh Injury)
Morita H.
(Illness)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Sporting Lisbon?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Atalanta?
Sporting Lisbon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
06.03.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Atalanta
1:1
30.11.2023
Atalanta
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
05.10.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Atalanta
1:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Plzen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | Basel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
