Result
3:4
29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Placard - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', De Souza H. 🟨,
- 3', Zicky Te (G), Taynan (A),
- 3', Taynan 🟨,
- 8', Merlim A. (G), Sokolov A. (A),
- 13', Merlim A. 🟨,
- 15', Osuji D. 🟨,
- 17', Nunes D. (G), De Souza H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 22', Merlim A. 🟨,
- 22', Arthur (G), Nunes D. (A),
- 26', Ferreira S. 🟨,
- 29', Jesus A. 🟨,
- 31', Moreira R. 🟨,
- 33', Taynan (G),
- 35', Pauleta 🟨,
- 36', Nunes D. (G), Rocha L. (A),
- 37', Jesus A. (G), Leo Gugiel (A),
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
50% | Draw
18.8% | Benfica
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.67) |
4.8 ↓
(5.35) |
2.89 ↓
(3.35) |
10.9%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 6.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Benfica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 75:57. (average 3.8:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:40. (average 4.1:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 13 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
25.06.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
7:5
22.06.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
5:1
19.06.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
15.06.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
4:5
11.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
4:4
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Benfica
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sporting (1) | Ferreira do Zezere (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Leoes (4) | Lombos (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Benfica (2) | Electrico (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Braga/AAUM (3) | Fundao (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting (1) | Leoes (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Benfica (2) | Braga/AAUM (3) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sporting (1) | Benfica (2) | 2 : 3 |
