Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Benfica
50%
Sporting Lisbon
50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Benfica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Sporting Lisbon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.8)

    1.82
    (1.8)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sporting CP leads series 1-0. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 1.
    • In recent matches, Benfica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 32:47. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    25.04.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 3:0
    15.03.2026 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 3:2
    10.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 3:1
    02.11.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    07.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    Latest results of Benfica
    25.04.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 3:0
    18.04.2026 Leixões - Benfica 0:3
    15.04.2026 Benfica - Leixões 3:1
    11.04.2026 Leixões - Benfica 3:0
    03.04.2026 Benfica - Leixões 3:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sporting CP (1)Gondomar (8)2 : 0
    2Academica de Espinho (4)Vitoria (5)1 : 2
    3Benfica (2)Sporting de Espinho (7)2 : 0
    4Leixoes SC (3)Mamede (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sporting CP (1)Vitoria (5)3 : 0
    2Benfica (2)Leixoes SC (3)3 : 1

    Final
    1Sporting CP (1)Benfica (2)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Leixoes SC (3)Vitoria (5)1 : 0