Cartagena vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Futsal UEFA Futsal Champions League Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon
Result
3:2 penalties
04/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UEFA Futsal Champions League - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', Motta G. 🟨,
  • 9', Paco T. (G), Merlim A. (A),
  • 14', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
  • 15', Taynan 🟨,
  • 15', Santos D. 🟨,
  • 15', Motta G. (G),
  • 16', Motta G. (Pen),
  • 17', Sokolov A. (G),
  • 17', Osamanmusa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Waltinho (G), Motta G. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 1)

Chances of winning


Cartagena
33.5%
Draw
20.3%
Sporting Lisbon
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 15.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 13.7% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+32.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (1.54)
    4.44
    (5.99)
    1.98
    (3.6)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Cartagena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
    • Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Cartagena
    02.05.2025 Kairat Almaty - Cartagena 3:2
    25.04.2025 Cartagena - ElPozo Murcia 4:3
    22.04.2025 Cartagena - Xota 2:2
    19.04.2025 Ribera Navarra - Cartagena 5:3
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SportingPalma Futsal0 : 3
    2Kairat AlmatyCartagena3 : 2

    Final
    1Palma FutsalKairat Almaty9 : 4

    3rd place
    2SportingCartagena2 : 3