Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City
Result
4:1
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicChnliga.tv, Nova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Stod 2 Sport 4, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoCinemax, HBO Max
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Zoom
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.862.21
Ball Possession
27%73%
Goal Attempts
920
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
18
Free Kicks
108
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
14
Throw-ins
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
810
Yellow Cards
33
Total Passes
228596
Completed Passes
181556
Crosses Completed
02
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Foden P. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. , Quenda G. (A),
  • 45+1', Kovacic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Araujo M. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 49', 3 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 55', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 69', Haaland E. (Pen),
  • 73', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 73', Savinho 🟨,
  • 75', Morita H. , Braganca D. ,
  • 75', Araujo M. , Catamo G. ,
  • 75', Matheus Reis , St. Juste J. ,
  • 77', Savinho , Doku J. ,
  • 77', Silva B. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 79', Nunes M. 🟨,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 85', Kovacic M. , De Bruyne K. ,
  • 85', Quenda G. , Quaresma E. ,
  • 88', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 88', Trincao , Harder C. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
27.8%
Draw
25.7%
Manchester City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 23.1% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 22.7% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (4.48)
    3.77
    (4.13)
    2.07
    (1.72)
    3.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 11.4%). Man City will win (votes: 78 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.9%82.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Man City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Man City will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) De Bruyne K. (Muscle Injury) Dias R. (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Savinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Inacio G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros
    2ShkendijaQarabag
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    4Dyn. KyivPafos
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce
    12NiceBenfica
    13RangersPlzen
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14