Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City
Result
4:1
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicChnliga.tv, Nova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Stod 2 Sport 4, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoCinemax, HBO Max
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Zoom
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.862.21
Ball Possession
27%73%
Goal Attempts
920
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
18
Free Kicks
108
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
14
Throw-ins
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
810
Yellow Cards
33
Total Passes
228596
Completed Passes
181556
Crosses Completed
02
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Foden P. ⚽,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Quenda G. (A),
  • 45+1', Kovacic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Araujo M. ⚽, Goncalves P. (A),
  • 49', 3 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 55', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 69', Haaland E. (Pen),
  • 73', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 73', Savinho 🟨,
  • 75', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
  • 75', Araujo M. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
  • 75', Matheus Reis ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
  • 77', Savinho ↓, Doku J. ↑,
  • 77', Silva B. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
  • 79', Nunes M. 🟨,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 85', Kovacic M. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
  • 85', Quenda G. ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
  • 88', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 88', Trincao ↓, Harder C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
27.8%		Draw
25.7%		Manchester City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 23.1% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 22.7% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.5 ↓
    (4.48)    		 3.76 ↓
    (4.13)    		 2.07 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.6%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 11.4%). Man City will win (votes: 78 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.9% – 82.7%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Man City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Man City will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) De Bruyne K. (Muscle Injury) Dias R. (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Savinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Inacio G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    01.11.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora 5:1 ✺
    29.10.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 3:1 ✺
    26.10.2024 Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon 0:3 ✺
    22.10.2024 Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon 0:2 ✺
    18.10.2024 Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    02.11.2024 Bournemouth - Manchester City 2:1 ✺
    30.10.2024 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City 2:1 ✺
    26.10.2024 Manchester City - Southampton 1:0 ✺
    23.10.2024 Manchester City - Sparta Prague 5:0 ✺
    20.10.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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