Result
1:4
27/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/452) | 66% (130/198) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/452) | 66% (130/198) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 45% (30/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (77/126) | 53% (40/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Arce S. ⚽, Diaz E. (A),
- 27', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
- 45+2', Rodas A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Baez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Benitez J. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 70', Samudio A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 70', Valdez D. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
- 72', Diaz E. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 3, Gimenez O. ⚽, Gonzalez C. (A),
- 80', Gonzalez C. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
- 80', Torales S. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 82', 0 - 4, Mareco M. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
42.3% | Draw
29.1% | General Caballero JLM
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General Caballero JLM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.46) |
3.19 ↓
(3.25) |
3.2 ↑
(2.7) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). General Caballero will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - General Caballero (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. General Caballero (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0.
- Sportivo Ameliano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- General Caballero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- General Caballero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sportivo Ameliano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against General Caballero JLM?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has General Caballero JLM won against Sportivo Ameliano?
General Caballero JLM has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM were as follows:
24.09.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
General Caballero JLM
0:1
09.08.2025
General Caballero JLM
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:2
16.04.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
General Caballero JLM
0:1
02.02.2025
General Caballero JLM
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
25.11.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
General Caballero JLM
0:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
