Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/365) | 73% (249/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/365) | 73% (249/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/125) | 51% (52/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 32', Romero N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Romero N. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 49', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 57', Portillo F. ↓, Bruno L. ↑,
- 57', Benitez J. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 65', Benitez M. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 72', Tanda P. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 73', Larralde V. 🟨,
- 78', Vera F. ↓, Ocampos C. ↑,
- 78', Contrera A. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 81', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
34.3% | Draw
30.8% | Guaraní Asuncion
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.56) |
3.02 ↓
(3.14) |
2.67 ↓
(2.76) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2.
- Recent performances by Sportivo Ameliano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guaraní has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
12.10.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:1
31.07.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
4:1
18.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:3
10.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
12.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10:21 | -11 | 15 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
