Result
2:1
29/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
- 39', Vallejo L. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Gimenez K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Di Massimo F. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
- 48', (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', De Cuadro J. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
- 61', Rios N. ↓, Ojeda G. ↑,
- 70', Gimenez K. ↓, Guerra A. ↑,
- 74', Vallejo L. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
- 74', Maguicha D. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
- 75', Guzman M. ↓, Landaburu M. ↑,
- 82', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Ordonez C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Italiano
45.4% | Draw
32.5% | Deportivo Merlo
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.02) |
2.8 ↓
(2.96) |
4.11 ↑
(3.83) |
10.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3.
- Sportivo Italiano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Merlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Merlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Italiano could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against Deportivo Merlo?
Sportivo Italiano has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Merlo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
20.09.2025
Sportivo Italiano
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
03.05.2025
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:2
20.07.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
02.03.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Excursionistas | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Real Pilar | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Talleres (R.E) | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Deportivo Camioneros | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Dep. Merlo | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Argentino de Merlo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | San Martin Burzaco | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Laferrere | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Liniers | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Deportivo Armenio | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Flandria | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Brown Adrogue | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Villa San Carlos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Argentino de Quilmes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )
