Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas
Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Porro E. ,
  • 14', Merzario E. 🟨,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Mozzone E. ,
  • 33', Daivez A. 🟨,
  • 43', Igarzabal H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Scaramuzzi E. , Cardozo M. ,
  • 49', Merzario E. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 64', Martinez M. , Cardozo M. ,
  • 64', Peralta C. , Pata L. ,
  • 66', Velazco N. 🟨,
  • 72', Daivez A. , Cipresso F. ,
  • 72', Mozzone E. , Davila M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Italiano
39.5%
Draw
32.4%
Excursionistas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 31.2% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 30.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.
  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excursionistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.93)
    2.95
    (2.96)
    3.41
    (2.48)
    4.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0.
    • Sportivo Italiano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Excursionistas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 2:0
    10.07.2024 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    20.02.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas 0:3
    04.07.2023 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    26.02.2023 Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas 0:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villa San Carlos743011:6515
    2Sportivo Italiano741212:7513
    3Midland64118:4413
    4Real Pilar73407:3413
    5Flandria73316:3312
    6Deportivo Armenio62406:2410
    7Sacachispas72417:6110
    8Acassuso62319:819
    9Laferrere72328:809
    10Brown Adrogue62228:9-18
    11San Martin Burzaco61416:517
    12Argentino de Quilmes71427:9-27
    13UAI Urquiza71425:7-27
    14Fenix71426:9-37
    15Dep. Merlo71335:7-26
    16Liniers71335:7-26
    17Dock Sud71334:6-26
    18Comunicaciones61326:9-36
    19Villa Dalmine71334:7-36
    20Argentino de Merlo71245:9-45
    21Excursionistas61147:11-44

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