Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Porro E. ⚽,
- 14', Merzario E. 🟨,
- 20', 2 - 0, Mozzone E. ⚽,
- 33', Daivez A. 🟨,
- 43', Igarzabal H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Scaramuzzi E. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
- 49', Merzario E. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
- 64', Martinez M. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
- 64', Peralta C. ↓, Pata L. ↑,
- 66', Velazco N. 🟨,
- 72', Daivez A. ↓, Cipresso F. ↑,
- 72', Mozzone E. ↓, Davila M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Italiano
39.5% | Draw
32.4% | Excursionistas
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excursionistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.93) |
2.95 ↓
(2.96) |
3.41 ↑
(2.48) |
4.3%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0.
- Sportivo Italiano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Excursionistas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against Excursionistas?
Sportivo Italiano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against Sportivo Italiano?
Excursionistas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas were as follows:
15.03.2025
Excursionistas
-
Sportivo Italiano
2:0
10.07.2024
Excursionistas
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
20.02.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
Excursionistas
0:3
04.07.2023
Excursionistas
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
26.02.2023
Sportivo Italiano
-
Excursionistas
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Latest results of Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Flandria | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Villa San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Laferrere | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 22 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Argentino de Merlo | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Sacachispas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 17 |
| 17 | Liniers | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Dock Sud | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 13 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Fenix | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
