Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Porro E. ,
  • 14', Merzario E. 🟨,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Mozzone E. ,
  • 33', Daivez A. 🟨,
  • 43', Igarzabal H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Scaramuzzi E. , Cardozo M. ,
  • 49', Merzario E. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 64', Martinez M. , Cardozo M. ,
  • 64', Peralta C. , Pata L. ,
  • 66', Velazco N. 🟨,
  • 72', Daivez A. , Cipresso F. ,
  • 72', Mozzone E. , Davila M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Italiano
39.5%
Draw
32.4%
Excursionistas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 31.2% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 30.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.
  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excursionistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.93)
    2.95
    (2.96)
    3.41
    (2.48)
    4.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0.
    • Sportivo Italiano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Excursionistas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 2:0
    10.07.2024 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    20.02.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas 0:3
    04.07.2023 Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    26.02.2023 Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas 0:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1384120:51528
    2Villa Dalmine1384118:61228
    3Sportivo Italiano1374215:10525
    4Excursionistas1373315:8724
    5Real Pilar1373318:13524
    6Talleres (R.E)1364310:6422
    7Deportivo Camioneros1356210:7321
    8Dep. Merlo1355316:15120
    9Argentino de Merlo1353510:11-118
    10San Martin Burzaco1337315:12316
    11Laferrere1344512:16-416
    12Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    13Liniers134369:13-415
    14Dock Sud1335513:13014
    15Deportivo Armenio1342710:17-714
    16Flandria1342710:18-814
    17Brown Adrogue133558:16-814
    18UAI Urquiza132748:9-113
    19Villa San Carlos1333717:19-212
    20Defensores Unidos1326511:13-212
    21Argentino de Quilmes1325612:14-211
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

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          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )