Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (177/265) | 79% (367/464) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (177/265) | 79% (367/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/73) | 47% (29/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 60% (86/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 31% (10/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 40', Gauto N. 🟨,
- 45+4', Fernandez T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
- 46', Gauto N. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez T. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 47', Viera G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 48', 1 - 0, Viera G. ⚽,
- 52', Aguilar G. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 59', Viera G. ↓, Baez R. ↑,
- 59', Cano Esteche A. B. ↓, Morinigo A. ↑,
- 61', Rayer T. 🟨,
- 65', Carrizo F. 🟨,
- 66', Dufour M. 🟨,
- 68', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Carrizo F. ↓, Vera O. R. ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 78', Sanabria L. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 83', Fretes A. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 88', Gimenez O. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
25.2% | Draw
29.6% | Libertad Asuncion
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(3.64) |
3.15 ↓
(3.29) |
2.05 ↑
(2.03) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Sportivo Trinidense (1.70) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Libertad (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Libertad (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Libertad (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Libertad (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Libertad (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Libertad (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Libertad Asuncion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 10%). Libertad (votes: 9 - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1.
- Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Libertad Asuncion has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
05.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
26.07.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:2
17.05.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
08.03.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
13.10.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
