Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense
Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.270.40
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
83% (428/514)80% (302/376)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.270.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.39
Total shots
107
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
83% (428/514)80% (302/376)
Long passes
44% (21/48)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
53% (68/129)66% (60/91)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.44
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
1118
Tackles
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4833
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.390.00
Goals prevented
0.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Fernandez H. 🟨,
  • 13', Zarza P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba P. , Acuna O. ,
  • 57', Zarza P. , Baez Mendoza R. ,
  • 57', Camacho N. , Romero F. ,
  • 57', Franco I. , Bogarin J. ,
  • 63', Fernandez H. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 63', Fernandez T. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 67', Salcedo J. , Gauto N. ,
  • 71', Sanabria L. , Campuzano A. ,
  • 77', Centurion M. , Villalba D. ,
  • 78', Viera G. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 89', 🟥,
  • 90', Melgarejo L. 🟥,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90', Villalba D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
45.4%
Draw
28.7%
Sportivo Trinidense
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 25.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.74)
    3.29
    (3.6)
    3.65
    (4.67)
    7.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
    • Libertad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sportivo Trinidense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sportivo Trinidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sportivo Trinidense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 0:2
    17.05.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 1:1
    08.03.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    13.10.2024 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 2:1
    06.08.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 2:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani18123339:162339
    2Cerro Porteno1796227:171033
    32 de Mayo1785421:17429
    4Nacional Asuncion1776421:15627
    5Sportivo Trinidense1775522:19326
    6Recoleta1874728:26225
    7Sp. Luqueno1864821:27-622
    8General Caballero JLM1755716:24-820
    9Olimpia Asuncion1855823:30-720
    10Libertad Asuncion1847720:20019
    11Ameliano17431018:31-1315
    12Atl. Tembetary18251118:32-1411

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