Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense
05/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
53%
Draw
26.1%
Sportivo Trinidense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 25.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.74)
    3.55
    (3.6)
    4.36
    (4.67)
    8.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
    • Libertad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sportivo Trinidense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sportivo Trinidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sportivo Trinidense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 0:2
    17.05.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 1:1
    08.03.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    13.10.2024 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 2:1
    06.08.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 2:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno1594226:161031
    2Guarani1492332:131929
    3Nacional Asuncion1474319:12725
    42 de Mayo1574420:17325
    5Sportivo Trinidense1464420:18222
    6Recoleta1563624:22221
    7Olimpia Asuncion1554621:25-419
    8General Caballero JLM1453614:20-618
    9Libertad Asuncion1445516:14217
    10Sp. Luqueno1552818:25-717
    11Ameliano15321015:29-1411
    12Atl. Tembetary14131014:28-146

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