Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/514) | 80% (302/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/514) | 80% (302/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (68/129) | 66% (60/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Fernandez H. 🟨,
- 13', Zarza P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villalba P. ↓, Acuna O. ↑,
- 57', Zarza P. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 57', Camacho N. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 57', Franco I. ↓, Bogarin J. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez T. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 67', Salcedo J. ↓, Gauto N. ↑,
- 71', Sanabria L. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 77', Centurion M. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
- 78', Viera G. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 89', 🟥,
- 90', Melgarejo L. 🟥,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', Villalba D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
45.4% | Draw
28.7% | Sportivo Trinidense
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.74) |
3.29 ↓
(3.6) |
3.65 ↓
(4.67) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
- Libertad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo Trinidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sportivo Trinidense has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Libertad Asuncion has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
26.07.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:2
17.05.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
08.03.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
13.10.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
06.08.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
2:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
