Result
5:1
07/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.15% (5/33) | 3.33% (1/30) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.67% (29/30) | 87.5% (28/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (1/7) | 0% (0/8) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 85.71% (6/7) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 01:12, 1 - 0, Lettieri V. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
- 13:25, 2 - 0, Shaw L. (G), Groulx B. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
- 14:47, 3 - 0, Pezzetta M. (G), Johnson R. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 19:51, 3 - 1, Rosen C. (G),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 11:45, 4 - 1, Haymes L. (G), Quillan J. (A),
- 15:41, 5 - 1, Groulx B. (G),
Chances of winning
Toronto Marlies
49.8% | Draw
21.2% | Springfield Thunderbirds
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.96) |
4.35 ↑
(4.24) |
3.19 ↑
(3.02) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Springfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Springfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 3.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 4.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Springfield Thunderbirds?
Toronto Marlies has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Springfield Thunderbirds won against Toronto Marlies?
Springfield Thunderbirds has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds were as follows:
23.01.2026
Springfield Thunderbirds
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
03.04.2024
Toronto Marlies
-
Springfield Thunderbirds
6:3
09.03.2024
Springfield Thunderbirds
-
Toronto Marlies
5:1
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
Latest results of Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins | 54 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 177:114 | 85 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 57 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 189:150 | 79 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 56 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 188:157 | 71 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 56 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 160:172 | 60 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 56 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 165:174 | 54 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 162:183 | 54 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 56 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 151:196 | 51 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 55 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 149:185 | 50 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 56 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 196:111 | 90 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 52 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 166:160 | 67 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 50 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 131:143 | 56 |
| 4 | Texas Stars | 53 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 155:165 | 56 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 54 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 152:165 | 51 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 56 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 152:194 | 44 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 54 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 126:170 | 43 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 55 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 188:150 | 76 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 55 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 178:139 | 74 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 54 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 188:164 | 72 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 57 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 192:178 | 70 |
| 5 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 54 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 180:169 | 63 |
| 6 | San Diego Gulls | 55 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 164:161 | 62 |
| 7 | Henderson Silver Knights | 52 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 173:166 | 58 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 55 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 171:182 | 58 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 56 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 151:204 | 52 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 57 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 132:191 | 48 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket | 59 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 192:157 | 77 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch | 55 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 180:135 | 72 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters | 56 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 164:167 | 67 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies | 55 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 176:179 | 63 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 54 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 166:168 | 57 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 58 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 181:214 | 52 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 55 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 143:175 | 49 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
