Toronto Marlies vs Springfield Thunderbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
07/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3330
Shooting PCT
15.15% (5/33)3.33% (1/30)
Goalkeeper Saves
2928
Saves PCT
96.67% (29/30)87.5% (28/32)
Penalties
87
PIM
3320
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
14.29% (1/7)0% (0/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (8/8)85.71% (6/7)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 01:12, 1 - 0, Lettieri V. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
  • 13:25, 2 - 0, Shaw L. (G), Groulx B. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
  • 14:47, 3 - 0, Pezzetta M. (G), Johnson R. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 19:51, 3 - 1, Rosen C. (G),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 11:45, 4 - 1, Haymes L. (G), Quillan J. (A),
  • 15:41, 5 - 1, Groulx B. (G),

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
49.8%
Draw
21.2%
Springfield Thunderbirds
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 21.9% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 24.6% 27.3%

Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(1.96)
4.35
(4.24)
3.19
(3.02)
8.6%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
  • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Springfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Springfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
  • Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 3.3:2.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 4.2:2).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds were as follows:
23.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 4:3
03.04.2024 Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds 6:3
09.03.2024 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 5:1
AHL Table
2025/26

Atlantic Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Providence Bruins4426918145:8671
2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton48275412161:12468
3Charlotte Checkers44224315147:12355
4Hershey Bears44155816123:13248
5Lehigh Valley Phantoms45138420127:14246
6Bridgeport Islanders45173520140:13745
7Springfield Thunderbirds46142624114:16238
8Hartford Wolf Pack45133623115:15538


Central Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Grand Rapids Griffins4530537156:8873
2Chicago Wolves431751011139:13454
3Texas Stars45166419129:13748
4Manitoba Moose42193317110:11747
5Milwaukee Admirals43127420122:12742
6Rockford IceHogs47125426127:15838
7Iowa Wild449452698:14131


Pacific Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Ontario Reign47238214159:13064
2Colorado Eagles44236510146:10463
3Bakersfield Condors46196714159:14257
4San Jose Barracuda43188314143:13155
5Coachella Valley Firebirds45178515154:14055
6San Diego Gulls44165914130:12651
7Tucson Roadrunners451110816147:14750
8Henderson Silver Knights43153817134:13744
9Calgary Wranglers471061219127:17144
10Abbotsford Canucks48106626105:16438


North Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Laval Rocket47227414151:12462
2Syracuse Crunch46242416149:12256
3Toronto Marlies45176715142:14753
4Cleveland Monsters451310715130:13753
5Rochester Americans45185616143:13052
6Belleville Senators49146821159:17848
7Utica Comets43103822103:14134

      Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )