St. Gallen vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
12/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.17
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1030
Shots on Goal
416
Shots off Goal
310
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
312
Corner Kicks
28
Shots inside the Box
621
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
123
Free Kicks
1111
Offsides
11
Fouls
1111
Yellow Cards
54
Throw-ins
2815
Touches in the Opposition Box
2032
Passes
78% (336/431)82% (400/485)
Passes in the final third
59% (66/111)65% (84/130)
Crosses
7% (1/15)43% (6/14)
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (16/24)
Clearances Total
1835
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Mendes J. , Santos N. (A),
  • 43', Akolo C. 🟨,
  • 45', Vallci A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Konietzke C. , Toma B. ,
  • 50', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 57', Diaby A. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Gustavo , Santos N. (A),
  • 61', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
  • 61', Akolo C. , Cisse M. ,
  • 61', Stevanovic M. , Ruiz V. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Csoboth K. , Vandermersch H. (A),
  • 72', Mendes J. , Samu ,
  • 72', Gustavo , Kaio Cesar ,
  • 75', Oliveira N. , Bica ,
  • 78', Witzig C. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Costa A. , Kaio Cesar (A),
  • 86', Manu 🟨,
  • 87', Santos N. 🟨,
  • 90', Santos N. , Arcanjo T. ,
  • 90', Tiago Silva , Ze Carlos ,
  • 90+2', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 4, Samu ,
  • 90+4', Ati Zigi L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Gallen
28.2%
Draw
26.9%
Vitoria Guimarães
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Gallen's form might have worsened.
  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitoria Guimarães's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. Gallen - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.6)
    3.49
    (3.3)
    2.09
    (2.5)
    6.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 48.2%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • St. Gallen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Guimarães is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • St. Gallen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Guimarães will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in St. Gallen: Karlen G. (Knee Injury) Milosevic J. (Injury) Nuhu M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of St. Gallen
    08.12.2024 St. Gallen - Basel 1:1
    05.12.2024 Bellinzona - St. Gallen 1:0
    01.12.2024 Young Boys - St. Gallen 3:1
    28.11.2024 St. Gallen - Bačka Topola 2:2
    24.11.2024 St. Gallen - Yverdon 0:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye